CG MedTech시지메드텍
056090 · KOSDAQ · ₩056090 · 시지메드텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩22B
- Equity value
- −₩30B
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩4,370, the model needs an operating margin of 14.8% every year (it uses −0.2%).
- Margins ranged from −4.6% to 8.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 79% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 13.8× against a typical 30.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.2%).
Revenue growth
- 4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -0.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 8.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 10.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 29.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.67, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩51B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩8.1B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩98M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩189M
- Shares
- 20,651,807
- Share price
- ₩4,370
- Market cap
- ₩90B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩35B | ₩35B | ₩47B | ₩54B | ₩56B | ₩58B | ₩60B | ₩62B |
| Growth | −15.1% | −1.0% | 36.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩1.6B | −₩1.1B | ₩3.8B | −₩107M | −₩112M | −₩116M | −₩120M | −₩124M |
| EBIT margin | −4.6% | −3.2% | 8.1% | −0.2% | −0.2% | −0.2% | −0.2% | −0.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.2B | −₩809M | ₩2.8B | −₩78M | −₩81M | −₩84M | −₩87M | −₩90M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.6B | ₩4.8B | ₩5B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.6B | ₩810M | ₩12B | ₩5.8B | ₩6B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.7B |
| − Working capital | −₩51B | −₩3.8B | −₩52M | ₩719M | ₩689M | ₩635M | ₩590M | ₩538M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩2B | −₩2B | −₩2B | −₩2B | −₩2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.933 | 0.871 | 0.813 | 0.759 | 0.709 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.8B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B |
Terminal value −₩20B, worth −₩14B today: 63% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,640 a share)Now 0.94× | ₩5,4421.17× | ₩16,1553.48× | ₩40,2078.67× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩317 a share)Now 13.8× | ₩7512.37× | ₩9,58730.2× | ₩24,67877.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩216 a share)Now 20.3× | ₩5102.37× | ₩6,51630.2× | ₩16,77277.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩90B
- Enterprise value
- ₩98B
- P/E
- 13.8×
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 1.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,840 | ₩5,040 | ₩11,800 | ₩11,800 | ₩9,849 |
| Market cap | ₩121B | ₩104B | ₩244B | ₩244B | ₩203B |
| P/E | 18.5× | — | 186.6× | — | — |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.2× | 4.0× | 4.2× | 7.1× |
| P/S | 2.6× | 3.0× | 7.0× | 5.9× | 5.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: CG MedTech / 시지메드텍 / 056090 / KRX:056090
Source: KRX statistical information