SFA EngineeringSFA
056190 · KOSDAQ · ₩056190 · SFA
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩7,068
vs the current price (₩25,050)
- Enterprise value
- ₩784B
- Equity value
- ₩254B
- WACC
- 8.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 72% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩25,050, the model needs an operating margin of 10.0% every year (it uses 6.1%).
- Or revenue growth +24.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −2.4% to 12.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 14.7× against a typical 16.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩7,068
- −71.8%
- Bull
- ₩25,500
- +1.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.1%).
Revenue growth
- -1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 29.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.81
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.72, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.5T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩80B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩14B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩624B
- Shares
- 35,908,760
- Share price
- ₩25,050
- Market cap
- ₩900B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.9T | ₩2T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.6T |
| Growth | 11.7% | 8.7% | −20.3% | −1.1% | −0.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩85B | −₩48B | ₩86B | ₩93B | ₩93B | ₩94B | ₩96B | ₩99B |
| EBIT margin | 4.5% | −2.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩62B | −₩35B | ₩62B | ₩68B | ₩68B | ₩68B | ₩70B | ₩72B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩54B | ₩54B | ₩54B | ₩55B | ₩57B |
| − Capital spending | ₩49B | ₩97B | ₩95B | ₩67B | ₩67B | ₩68B | ₩69B | ₩71B |
| − Working capital | ₩153B | −₩359B | ₩54B | −₩5B | −₩452M | ₩4.5B | ₩9.1B | ₩14B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩59B | ₩54B | ₩50B | ₩46B | ₩43B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.921 | 0.848 | 0.782 | 0.720 | 0.663 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩54B | ₩46B | ₩39B | ₩33B | ₩29B |
Terminal value ₩879B, worth ₩583B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩26,007 a share)Now 0.96× | ₩20,9990.81× | ₩27,0631.04× | ₩34,4391.32× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,710 a share)Now 14.7× | ₩20,79512.2× | ₩28,39316.6× | ₩40,87223.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,221 a share)Now 11.3× | ₩27,01312.2× | ₩36,88216.6× | ₩53,09123.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | ₩9,237 | ₩10,065 | ₩11,033 | ₩12,184 | ₩13,576 |
| 8.1% | ₩7,484 | ₩8,136 | ₩8,887 | ₩9,764 | ₩10,807 |
| 8.6% | ₩5,965 | ₩6,481 | ₩7,068 | ₩7,745 | ₩8,535 |
| 9.1% | ₩4,637 | ₩5,046 | ₩5,508 | ₩6,034 | ₩6,638 |
| 9.6% | ₩3,464 | ₩3,791 | ₩4,155 | ₩4,565 | ₩5,031 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩900B
- Enterprise value
- ₩785B
- P/E
- 14.7×
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩23,400 | ₩19,500 | ₩30,400 | ₩36,400 | ₩36,050 |
| Market cap | ₩840B | ₩700B | ₩1.1T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T |
| P/E | 15.2× | — | 27.3× | 16.9× | 11.1× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 0.8× | 1.1× | 1.2× | 1.2× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.6× | 0.8× | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.1% | 1.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFA Engineering | 14.7× | 1.0× | 0.6× | — | 3.8% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 1,116.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: SFA Engineering / SFA / 056190 / KRX:056190
Source: KRX statistical information