Shinwha Intertek신화인터텍
056700 · KOSDAQ · ₩056700 · 신화인터텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩926
vs the current price (₩1,410)
- Enterprise value
- ₩18B
- Equity value
- ₩27B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩926
- −34.3%
- Bull
- ₩4,023
- +185.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.9%).
Revenue growth
- 4.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 3.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩202B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩976M
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩8.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 29,135,091
- Share price
- ₩1,410
- Market cap
- ₩41B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩177B | ₩247B | ₩229B | ₩211B | ₩220B | ₩228B | ₩235B | ₩242B |
| Growth | −11.8% | 39.4% | −7.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩16B | ₩5.8B | ₩9.1B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B |
| EBIT margin | −8.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩11B | ₩4.2B | ₩6.6B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.9B | ₩2.3B | ₩1.5B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B |
| − Working capital | −₩3.5B | −₩32B | ₩10B | ₩302M | ₩294M | ₩276M | ₩263M | ₩240M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩652M | ₩699M | ₩754M | ₩802M | ₩857M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩607M | ₩606M | ₩608M | ₩603M | ₩600M |
Terminal value ₩21B, worth ₩15B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,330 a share)Now 0.42× | ₩1,6210.49× | ₩2,1840.66× | ₩3,3211.00× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩93 a share)Now 15.1× | ₩1,43315.4× | ₩1,80419.3× | ₩7,40079.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩228 a share)Now 6.18× | ₩3,50415.4× | ₩4,41219.3× | ₩18,09279.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩987 | ₩1,027 | ₩1,075 | ₩1,135 | ₩1,213 |
| 6.9% | ₩925 | ₩956 | ₩993 | ₩1,038 | ₩1,094 |
| 7.4% | ₩874 | ₩898 | ₩926 | ₩960 | ₩1,002 |
| 7.9% | ₩829 | ₩849 | ₩871 | ₩897 | ₩929 |
| 8.4% | ₩791 | ₩807 | ₩824 | ₩845 | ₩869 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩41B
- Enterprise value
- ₩40B
- P/E
- 15.1×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,722 | ₩1,691 | ₩2,185 | ₩3,365 | ₩3,055 |
| Market cap | ₩50B | ₩49B | ₩64B | ₩98B | ₩89B |
| P/E | 14.9× | 58.3× | — | — | 79.3× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.7× | 1.1× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinwha Intertek | 15.1× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology | 5.8× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 4.0% |
| Kumho Tire | 3.1× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Pum-Tech Korea | 20.5× | 2.6× | 2.2× | — | 0.7% |
| Dongwon Systems | 9.8× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 5.7× | 2.8% |
| Nexen Tire | 3.5× | 0.2× | 0.2× | — | 3.6% |
| PI Advanced Materials | 13.6× | 1.3× | 1.8× | 5.5× | 2.1% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.8× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 5.6× | 2.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Shinwha Intertek / 신화인터텍 / 056700 / KRX:056700
Source: KRX statistical information