CNT85CNT85
056730 · KOSDAQ · ₩056730 · CNT85
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩39B
- Equity value
- −₩11B
- WACC
- 9.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,112, the model needs an operating margin of −0.6% every year (it uses −4.1%).
- Margins ranged from −23.7% to 4.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−4.1%).
Revenue growth
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -4.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.96
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.94, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩58B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩26B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.9B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 14,822,237
- Share price
- ₩1,112
- Market cap
- ₩16B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩50B | ₩67B | ₩48B | ₩66B | ₩73B | ₩79B | ₩84B | ₩87B |
| Growth | 56.4% | 33.6% | −29.1% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩881M | −₩1.4B | −₩11B | −₩2.7B | −₩3B | −₩3.3B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.5B |
| EBIT margin | 1.8% | −2.1% | −23.7% | −4.1% | −4.1% | −4.1% | −4.1% | −4.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩639M | −₩1B | −₩8.2B | −₩2B | −₩2.2B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩263M | ₩293M | ₩318M | ₩336M | ₩346M |
| − Capital spending | ₩370M | ₩272M | ₩116M | ₩329M | ₩366M | ₩397M | ₩420M | ₩433M |
| − Working capital | −₩1.8B | ₩12B | −₩603M | ₩1.4B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.1B | ₩788M | ₩438M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩3.4B | −₩3.5B | −₩3.5B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.914 | 0.836 | 0.764 | 0.698 | 0.638 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩3.1B | −₩3B | −₩2.7B | −₩2.4B | −₩2B |
Terminal value −₩40B, worth −₩26B today: 66% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,026 a share)Now 0.28× | ₩2,1440.53× | ₩4,6641.16× | ₩49,86912.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩16B
- Enterprise value
- −₩9.8B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,005 | ₩3,455 | ₩6,635 | ₩16,501 | ₩16,501 |
| Market cap | ₩45B | ₩51B | ₩98B | ₩245B | ₩245B |
| P/E | — | — | 11.8× | 177.7× | — |
| P/B | 0.8× | 0.7× | 1.4× | 12.1× | 13.4× |
| P/S | 0.9× | 0.8× | 2.0× | 7.6× | 6.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNT85 | — | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 22.8× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.9% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.6× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| GS Engineering & Construction | 18.8× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| DL E&C | 3.5× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.6% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.0× | 1.4× | 1.1× | 7.9× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.6× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.9% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.0× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 7.9× | 1.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: CNT85 / 056730 / KRX:056730
Source: KRX statistical information