YBM NetYBM넷
057030 · KOSDAQ · ₩057030 · YBM넷
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,699
vs the current price (₩1,818)
- Enterprise value
- ₩29B
- Equity value
- ₩44B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 48% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,818, the model needs an operating margin of 2.9% every year (it uses 5.3%).
- Or revenue growth −19.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 46% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 16.1× against a typical 18.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,736
- −4.5%
- Base
- ₩2,699
- +48.5%
- Bull
- ₩4,414
- +142.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.3%).
Revenue growth
- -6.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 12.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.04, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩51B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩15B
- − Minority interests
- ₩121,353
- Shares
- 16,312,697
- Share price
- ₩1,818
- Market cap
- ₩30B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩60B | ₩58B | ₩52B | ₩48B | ₩46B | ₩46B | ₩46B | ₩47B |
| Growth | −3.3% | −3.6% | −11.1% | −6.1% | −3.8% | −1.5% | 0.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.1B | ₩2.8B | ₩950M | ₩2.6B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B |
| EBIT margin | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.7B | ₩2B | ₩689M | ₩1.9B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩868M | ₩835M | ₩822M | ₩828M | ₩853M |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B |
| − Working capital | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B | −₩2.2B | −₩379M | −₩222M | −₩84M | ₩39M | ₩167M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.4B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.9B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.1B | ₩996M |
Terminal value ₩31B, worth ₩22B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,180 a share)Now 0.57× | ₩2,5930.82× | ₩4,0941.29× | ₩7,0852.23× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩113 a share)Now 16.1× | ₩9628.50× | ₩2,06518.2× | ₩2,98026.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩103 a share)Now 17.7× | ₩8728.50× | ₩1,87318.2× | ₩2,70326.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩2,809 | ₩2,940 | ₩3,100 | ₩3,303 | ₩3,566 |
| 6.8% | ₩2,649 | ₩2,753 | ₩2,879 | ₩3,033 | ₩3,227 |
| 7.3% | ₩2,515 | ₩2,599 | ₩2,699 | ₩2,819 | ₩2,968 |
| 7.8% | ₩2,400 | ₩2,469 | ₩2,550 | ₩2,646 | ₩2,762 |
| 8.3% | ₩2,301 | ₩2,358 | ₩2,425 | ₩2,502 | ₩2,595 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩30B
- Enterprise value
- ₩14B
- P/E
- 16.1×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,055 | ₩4,410 | ₩4,820 | ₩3,360 | ₩6,980 |
| Market cap | ₩50B | ₩72B | ₩79B | ₩55B | ₩114B |
| P/E | 31.1× | 22.7× | 15.5× | 7.2× | 44.7× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 1.4× | 1.5× | 1.1× | 2.7× |
| P/S | 1.0× | 1.2× | 1.3× | 0.9× | 2.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YBM Net | 16.1× | 0.6× | 0.6× | — | 0.0% |
| MegaStudyEdu | 4.7× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 2.1× | 7.8% |
| Digital Daesung | 6.8× | 1.6× | 0.9× | — | 5.7% |
| Multicampus | 6.9× | 0.7× | 0.5× | — | 5.1% |
| Ibkimyoung | 6.0× | 1.6× | 0.8× | — | 13.5% |
| JLS | 12.1× | 1.0× | 0.9× | — | 9.3% |
| Creverse | 8.6× | 1.6× | 0.4× | — | 9.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 6.9× | 1.3× | 0.6× | 2.1× | 8.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: YBM Net / YBM넷 / 057030 / KRX:057030
Source: KRX statistical information