Omnisystem옴니시스템
057540 · KOSDAQ · ₩057540 · 옴니시스템
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,680
vs the current price (₩2,570)
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.6B
- Equity value
- ₩20B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩383
- −85.1%
- Base
- ₩1,680
- −34.6%
- Bull
- ₩4,263
- +65.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.1%).
Revenue growth
- 0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 1.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 22%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.38, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩86B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩1.9B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩16B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩445M
- Shares
- 11,878,853
- Share price
- ₩2,570
- Market cap
- ₩31B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩91B | ₩109B | ₩99B | ₩87B | ₩87B | ₩89B | ₩91B | ₩94B |
| Growth | −6.8% | 19.3% | −9.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩305M | ₩6B | ₩1B | ₩952M | ₩961M | ₩978M | ₩1B | ₩1B |
| EBIT margin | 0.3% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩221M | ₩4.3B | ₩738M | ₩690M | ₩697M | ₩709M | ₩725M | ₩747M |
| + Depreciation | ₩3.3B | ₩3.1B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.9B | ₩3.3B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B |
| − Working capital | −₩1.2B | ₩4.1B | −₩2.3B | ₩57M | ₩190M | ₩327M | ₩450M | ₩600M |
| Free cash flow | ₩1.8B | ₩27M | ₩3.2B | ₩720M | ₩594M | ₩471M | ₩366M | ₩240M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩670M | ₩515M | ₩380M | ₩276M | ₩168M |
Terminal value ₩843M, worth ₩591M today: 23% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,240 a share)Now 0.28× | ₩3,8290.41× | ₩4,9020.53× | ₩13,1481.42× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩153 a share)Now 16.8× | ₩1,94012.7× | ₩2,58416.9× | ₩9,90964.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩84 a share)Now 30.6× | ₩1,06612.7× | ₩1,42016.9× | ₩5,44564.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩1,925 | ₩1,824 | ₩1,698 | ₩1,539 | ₩1,330 |
| 6.9% | ₩1,892 | ₩1,800 | ₩1,688 | ₩1,550 | ₩1,374 |
| 7.4% | ₩1,864 | ₩1,781 | ₩1,680 | ₩1,558 | ₩1,407 |
| 7.9% | ₩1,840 | ₩1,764 | ₩1,673 | ₩1,564 | ₩1,432 |
| 8.4% | ₩1,820 | ₩1,749 | ₩1,667 | ₩1,569 | ₩1,453 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩31B
- Enterprise value
- ₩29B
- P/E
- 16.8×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- 7.0×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,925 | ₩3,675 | ₩4,560 | ₩7,071 | ₩12,784 |
| Market cap | ₩47B | ₩44B | ₩54B | ₩84B | ₩152B |
| P/E | — | 6.5× | 76.3× | 147.4× | — |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 1.0× | 1.7× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.9× | 1.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.2× | 2.8× | 10.6× | 12.9× | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Omnisystem / 옴니시스템 / 057540 / KRX:057540
Source: KRX statistical information