ktisKTis
058860 · KOSPI · ₩058860 · KTis
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩10,264
vs the current price (₩2,475)
- Enterprise value
- ₩454B
- Equity value
- ₩357B
- WACC
- 5.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 315% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,475, the model needs an operating margin of 1.7% every year (it uses 3.6%).
- Or revenue growth −21.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 55% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 2.3× against a typical 7.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩687
- −72.2%
- Base
- ₩10,264
- +314.7%
- Bull
- ₩31,432
- +1,170.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.6%).
Revenue growth
- 3.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 7.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩619B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩127B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩30B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 34,802,000
- Share price
- ₩2,475
- Market cap
- ₩86B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩593B | ₩604B | ₩589B | ₩638B | ₩658B | ₩679B | ₩699B | ₩720B |
| Growth | 10.7% | 1.8% | −2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩25B | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩24B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| EBIT margin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩18B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩19B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5.7B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.5B |
| − Capital spending | ₩17B | ₩435M | ₩2.7B | ₩7B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.7B | ₩7.9B |
| − Working capital | ₩132M | −₩7B | ₩74B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.949 | 0.900 | 0.854 | 0.810 | 0.768 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
Terminal value ₩509B, worth ₩391B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,002 a share)Now 0.35× | ₩2,7500.39× | ₩3,1990.46× | ₩3,8390.55× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,060 a share)Now 2.33× | ₩2,6932.54× | ₩7,5437.11× | ₩8,6138.12× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩666 a share)Now 3.72× | ₩1,6902.54× | ₩4,7357.11× | ₩5,4078.12× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.4% | ₩11,124 | ₩13,040 | ₩15,748 | ₩19,867 | ₩26,893 |
| 4.9% | ₩9,310 | ₩10,687 | ₩12,535 | ₩15,146 | ₩19,116 |
| 5.4% | ₩7,908 | ₩8,936 | ₩10,264 | ₩12,045 | ₩14,561 |
| 5.9% | ₩6,792 | ₩7,583 | ₩8,573 | ₩9,852 | ₩11,569 |
| 6.4% | ₩5,883 | ₩6,505 | ₩7,266 | ₩8,221 | ₩9,453 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩86B
- Enterprise value
- ₩109B
- P/E
- 2.3×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,715 | ₩2,610 | ₩3,015 | ₩2,415 | ₩2,540 |
| Market cap | ₩94B | ₩91B | ₩105B | ₩84B | ₩88B |
| P/E | 2.6× | 7.7× | 7.5× | 5.3× | 3.5× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.5× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 5.2% | 4.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ktis | 2.3× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 5.7% |
| NAVER | 13.4× | 0.9× | 2.1× | — | 1.5% |
| Kakao | 38.1× | 1.1× | 1.6× | — | 0.3% |
| Daou Technology | 1.9× | 0.4× | 0.0× | — | 5.4% |
| NICE Information Service | 11.6× | 2.1× | 1.6× | 6.8× | 3.0% |
| Kinx | 31.7× | 3.6× | 4.6× | 13.9× | 0.4% |
| Cafe24 | 11.6× | 1.6× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 12.5× | 1.3× | 1.6× | 6.8× | 0.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: ktis / KTis / 058860 / KRX:058860
Source: KRX statistical information