Emro엠로
058970 · KOSDAQ · ₩058970 · 엠로
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,341
vs the current price (₩13,830)
- Enterprise value
- ₩89B
- Equity value
- ₩115B
- WACC
- 7.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,977
- −56.8%
- Base
- ₩9,341
- −32.5%
- Bull
- ₩14,871
- +7.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.9%).
Revenue growth
- 13.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 7.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.67
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.51, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩72B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩26B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩882M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 12,362,794
- Share price
- ₩13,830
- Market cap
- ₩171B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩59B | ₩75B | ₩81B | ₩82B | ₩92B | ₩99B | ₩105B | ₩108B |
| Growth | 8.2% | 26.5% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4B | ₩8.8B | ₩2B | ₩6.5B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.8B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.5B |
| EBIT margin | 6.8% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.9B | ₩6.3B | ₩1.4B | ₩4.7B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.7B | ₩6B | ₩6.2B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5B | ₩5.6B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.3B | ₩7.8B | ₩5.5B | ₩6.3B | ₩7B | ₩7.5B | ₩8B | ₩8.2B |
| − Working capital | −₩34B | ₩34B | −₩502M | −₩999M | −₩914M | −₩769M | −₩565M | −₩315M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.5B | ₩4.8B | ₩5B | ₩5B | ₩4.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.928 | 0.861 | 0.798 | 0.741 | 0.687 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.2B | ₩4.1B | ₩4B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.4B |
Terminal value ₩101B, worth ₩69B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,506 a share)Now 1.84× | ₩24,9653.33× | ₩45,3206.04× | ₩196,60326.2× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩34 a share)Now 406.3× | ₩93727.5× | ₩1,17734.6× | ₩1,81853.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | ₩9,484 | ₩10,116 | ₩10,880 | ₩11,823 | ₩13,015 |
| 7.3% | ₩8,887 | ₩9,412 | ₩10,037 | ₩10,794 | ₩11,727 |
| 7.8% | ₩8,377 | ₩8,820 | ₩9,341 | ₩9,960 | ₩10,709 |
| 8.3% | ₩7,938 | ₩8,316 | ₩8,755 | ₩9,270 | ₩9,883 |
| 8.8% | ₩7,556 | ₩7,882 | ₩8,256 | ₩8,691 | ₩9,201 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩171B
- Enterprise value
- ₩143B
- P/E
- 406.3×
- P/B
- 1.8×
- P/S
- 2.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩37,350 | ₩64,500 | ₩69,000 | ₩13,150 | ₩20,350 |
| Market cap | ₩462B | ₩797B | ₩853B | ₩163B | ₩252B |
| P/E | 127.0× | 42.7× | — | 26.8× | 45.3× |
| P/B | 4.8× | 9.1× | 31.3× | 3.2× | 6.1× |
| P/S | 5.7× | 10.6× | 14.4× | 3.0× | 5.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emro | 406.3× | 1.8× | 2.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 46.8× | 4.7× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 6.9× | 1.2× | 2.0× | 8.3× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.0× | 3.0× | 5.1× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.7× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Emro / 엠로 / 058970 / KRX:058970
Source: KRX statistical information