Curexo큐렉소
060280 · KOSDAQ · ₩060280 · 큐렉소
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩22
vs the current price (₩7,070)
- Enterprise value
- −₩17B
- Equity value
- ₩925M
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 100% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩7,070, the model needs an operating margin of 25.5% every year (it uses 0.5%).
- Margins ranged from −10.5% to 3.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 57% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩22
- −99.7%
- Bull
- ₩578
- −91.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.5%).
Revenue growth
- 4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.61
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.42, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩78B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩16B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 41,259,790
- Share price
- ₩7,070
- Market cap
- ₩292B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩73B | ₩56B | ₩75B | ₩81B | ₩85B | ₩88B | ₩91B | ₩94B |
| Growth | 12.1% | −23.8% | 34.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩1.1B | −₩5.8B | ₩2.4B | ₩407M | ₩424M | ₩441M | ₩456M | ₩469M |
| EBIT margin | 1.6% | −10.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩823M | −₩4.2B | ₩1.7B | ₩295M | ₩308M | ₩319M | ₩330M | ₩340M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.3B | ₩3.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B |
| − Working capital | ₩3.9B | ₩4.4B | −₩1.9B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩1.8B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.868 | 0.808 | 0.753 | 0.701 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.7B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.1B |
Terminal value −₩14B, worth −₩9.7B today: 59% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,445 a share)Now 2.89× | ₩7,8823.22× | ₩11,4334.68× | ₩18,9387.75× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩135 | ₩52 | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | ₩150 | ₩78 | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | ₩163 | ₩99 | ₩22 | — | — |
| 7.9% | ₩174 | ₩117 | ₩50 | — | — |
| 8.4% | ₩184 | ₩132 | ₩73 | ₩2 | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩292B
- Enterprise value
- ₩275B
- P/E
- 52.9×
- P/B
- 2.9×
- P/S
- 3.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩12,960 | ₩6,460 | ₩18,610 | ₩6,720 | ₩7,410 |
| Market cap | ₩535B | ₩267B | ₩768B | ₩277B | ₩306B |
| P/E | 192.9× | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 5.6× | 2.9× | 7.6× | 3.4× | 7.1× |
| P/S | 7.2× | 4.8× | 10.5× | 4.3× | 7.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curexo | 52.9× | 2.9× | 3.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.1× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.3× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 3.8% |
| ISC | 42.6× | 5.7× | 11.9× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.2× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.0% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.6× | 1.7× | 5.3× | — | 4.0% |
| SK Gas | 7.4× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.2× | 1.0× | 0.9× | — | 3.3% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Curexo / 큐렉소 / 060280 / KRX:060280
Source: KRX statistical information