Systemand Application Technologies에스에이티
060540 · KOSDAQ · ₩060540 · 에스에이티
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,181
vs the current price (₩1,148)
- Enterprise value
- ₩76B
- Equity value
- ₩57B
- WACC
- 6.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 90% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,148, the model needs an operating margin of 2.7% every year (it uses 3.6%).
- Or revenue growth −19.5 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 30% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 3.5× against a typical 12.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩2,181
- +90.0%
- Bull
- ₩7,060
- +515.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.6%).
Revenue growth
- -2.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 19.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.2, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩180B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩19B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩100M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 26,132,934
- Share price
- ₩1,148
- Market cap
- ₩30B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩152B | ₩155B | ₩160B | ₩175B | ₩172B | ₩172B | ₩175B | ₩180B |
| Growth | −12.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | −2.9% | −1.4% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.7B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.9B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.5B |
| EBIT margin | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.8B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩6.3B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.5B |
| − Capital spending | ₩17B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.8B | ₩7.9B | ₩7.7B | ₩7.8B | ₩7.9B | ₩8.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩3.7B | ₩6B | −₩1.6B | −₩1B | −₩486M | ₩34M | ₩514M | ₩1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4B | ₩3.4B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.5B | ₩2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.943 | 0.890 | 0.839 | 0.791 | 0.746 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3.8B | ₩3.1B | ₩2.4B | ₩2B | ₩1.5B |
Terminal value ₩85B, worth ₩63B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,070 a share)Now 0.28× | ₩1,3640.34× | ₩2,1960.54× | ₩3,1370.77× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩329 a share)Now 3.49× | ₩1,4224.32× | ₩4,20912.8× | ₩13,70141.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩284 a share)Now 4.04× | ₩1,2284.32× | ₩3,63412.8× | ₩11,83041.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | ₩2,555 | ₩2,810 | ₩3,148 | ₩3,618 | ₩4,318 |
| 5.5% | ₩2,184 | ₩2,365 | ₩2,596 | ₩2,901 | ₩3,326 |
| 6.0% | ₩1,887 | ₩2,018 | ₩2,181 | ₩2,388 | ₩2,663 |
| 6.5% | ₩1,644 | ₩1,741 | ₩1,858 | ₩2,003 | ₩2,188 |
| 7.0% | ₩1,442 | ₩1,514 | ₩1,600 | ₩1,703 | ₩1,831 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩30B
- Enterprise value
- ₩47B
- P/E
- 3.5×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,361 | ₩1,535 | ₩2,685 | ₩2,060 | ₩3,155 |
| Market cap | ₩36B | ₩40B | ₩70B | ₩54B | ₩82B |
| P/E | 45.2× | 15.9× | 43.3× | 5.9× | 12.5× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.7× | 0.5× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.7% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Systemand Application Technologies / 에스에이티 / 060540 / KRX:060540
Source: KRX statistical information