KH VatecKH바텍
060720 · KOSDAQ · ₩060720 · KH바텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩8,728
vs the current price (₩11,440)
- Enterprise value
- ₩243B
- Equity value
- ₩207B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,795
- −84.3%
- Base
- ₩8,728
- −23.7%
- Bull
- ₩20,952
- +83.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.8%).
Revenue growth
- 5.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 13.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 12%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.73
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.6, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩386B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩50B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩13B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 23,677,442
- Share price
- ₩11,440
- Market cap
- ₩271B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩364B | ₩311B | ₩425B | ₩406B | ₩425B | ₩443B | ₩459B | ₩473B |
| Growth | −0.1% | −14.5% | 36.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩34B | ₩22B | ₩32B | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩37B |
| EBIT margin | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩24B | ₩16B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩25B | ₩26B | ₩27B |
| + Depreciation | ₩16B | ₩19B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩25B |
| − Capital spending | ₩81B | ₩36B | ₩28B | ₩55B | ₩58B | ₩60B | ₩62B | ₩64B |
| − Working capital | −₩36B | ₩14B | ₩24B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.1B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.7B |
| Free cash flow | −₩4.8B | −₩15B | −₩7.5B | −₩13B | −₩14B | −₩14B | −₩14B | −₩14B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.805 | 0.749 | 0.697 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩12B | −₩12B | −₩11B | −₩11B | −₩9.9B |
Terminal value ₩429B, worth ₩299B today: 123% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,820 a share)Now 0.97× | ₩10,3600.88× | ₩15,5561.32× | ₩27,4332.32× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩697 a share)Now 16.4× | ₩4,9777.14× | ₩10,16914.6× | ₩12,76818.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩523 a share)Now 21.9× | ₩3,7317.14× | ₩7,62214.6× | ₩9,57018.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | ₩9,459 | ₩10,699 | ₩12,213 | ₩14,104 | ₩16,533 |
| 7.0% | ₩8,087 | ₩9,088 | ₩10,288 | ₩11,753 | ₩13,583 |
| 7.5% | ₩6,938 | ₩7,759 | ₩8,728 | ₩9,889 | ₩11,307 |
| 8.0% | ₩5,963 | ₩6,645 | ₩7,440 | ₩8,377 | ₩9,501 |
| 8.5% | ₩5,128 | ₩5,701 | ₩6,361 | ₩7,130 | ₩8,037 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩271B
- Enterprise value
- ₩320B
- P/E
- 16.4×
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- 7.3×
- Dividend yield
- 3.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,180 | ₩8,140 | ₩14,690 | ₩13,900 | ₩26,700 |
| Market cap | ₩265B | ₩193B | ₩348B | ₩329B | ₩632B |
| P/E | 13.0× | 9.0× | 11.2× | 13.3× | 18.9× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.7× | 1.4× | 1.4× | 2.9× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.6× | 1.0× | 0.9× | 1.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.6× | 4.9× | 6.7× | 6.5× | 15.2× |
| Dividend yield | 3.3% | 4.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KH Vatec | 16.4× | 1.0× | 0.7× | 7.3× | 3.2% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 89.0× | 8.8× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 36.8× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 67.9× | 2.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.4× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 32.5× | 7.6× | 5.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 41.5× | 6.5× | 4.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 39.2× | 5.8× | 3.8× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: KH Vatec / KH바텍 / 060720 / KRX:060720
Source: KRX statistical information