Rftech알에프텍
061040 · KOSDAQ · ₩061040 · 알에프텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,407
vs the current price (₩6,770)
- Enterprise value
- −₩38B
- Equity value
- ₩22B
- WACC
- 10.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 64% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,770, the model needs an operating margin of 1.5% every year (it uses −0.8%).
- Margins ranged from −9.5% to 5.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩107
- −98.4%
- Base
- ₩2,407
- −64.4%
- Bull
- ₩6,425
- −5.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.8%).
Revenue growth
- -9.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -0.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -1.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 1.16
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.24, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩257B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩39B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩20B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 9,048,223
- Share price
- ₩6,770
- Market cap
- ₩61B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩314B | ₩358B | ₩266B | ₩232B | ₩217B | ₩210B | ₩210B | ₩216B |
| Growth | −12.8% | 14.0% | −25.8% | −9.6% | −6.5% | −3.3% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5B | ₩1.8B | −₩25B | −₩1.9B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B |
| EBIT margin | 1.6% | 0.5% | −9.5% | −0.8% | −0.8% | −0.8% | −0.8% | −0.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.7B | ₩1.3B | −₩18B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| − Capital spending | ₩36B | ₩32B | ₩12B | ₩19B | ₩18B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B |
| − Working capital | −₩24B | −₩62B | ₩42B | ₩469M | ₩287M | ₩136M | ₩8M | −₩119M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩5.5B | −₩5B | −₩4.7B | −₩4.6B | −₩4.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.906 | 0.821 | 0.743 | 0.673 | 0.610 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩5B | −₩4.1B | −₩3.5B | −₩3.1B | −₩2.8B |
Terminal value −₩32B, worth −₩19B today: 51% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩22,554 a share)Now 0.30× | ₩8,9010.39× | ₩16,5830.74× | ₩25,9351.15× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4% | ₩2,243 | ₩2,107 | ₩1,952 | ₩1,775 | ₩1,571 |
| 9.9% | ₩2,444 | ₩2,326 | ₩2,193 | ₩2,043 | ₩1,870 |
| 10.4% | ₩2,625 | ₩2,522 | ₩2,407 | ₩2,278 | ₩2,131 |
| 10.9% | ₩2,788 | ₩2,698 | ₩2,598 | ₩2,486 | ₩2,360 |
| 11.4% | ₩2,936 | ₩2,857 | ₩2,769 | ₩2,672 | ₩2,563 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩61B
- Enterprise value
- ₩21B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,985 | ₩19,735 | ₩19,585 | ₩26,863 | ₩30,415 |
| Market cap | ₩90B | ₩179B | ₩177B | ₩243B | ₩275B |
| P/E | — | — | 43.8× | 20.4× | 15.7× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.1× | 1.3× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rftech | — | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electronics | 8.8× | 2.3× | 2.7× | — | 0.7% |
| LG Electronics | 23.6× | 0.9× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 21.8× | 2.7× | 1.4× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 39.7× | 3.5× | 6.5× | — | 0.8% |
| KMW | — | 4.9× | 7.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 12.9× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 21.8× | 2.5× | 2.1× | — | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Rftech / 알에프텍 / 061040 / KRX:061040
Source: KRX statistical information