Sanil Electric산일전기
062040 · KOSPI · ₩062040 · 산일전기
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩100,509
vs the current price (₩146,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.8T
- Equity value
- ₩3.1T
- WACC
- 9.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩75,996
- −48.2%
- Base
- ₩100,509
- −31.5%
- Bull
- ₩136,054
- −7.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (34.8%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (50.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (50.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (50.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (50.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (50.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 34.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 12.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 15.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 35.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 1.04
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩589B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩216B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩43B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 30,642,850
- Share price
- ₩146,700
- Market cap
- ₩4.5T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩334B | ₩502B | ₩737B | ₩880B | ₩1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T |
| Growth | — | 50.3% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩109B | ₩179B | ₩256B | ₩306B | ₩349B | ₩379B | ₩390B |
| EBIT margin | 32.7% | 35.6% | 34.8% | 34.8% | 34.8% | 34.8% | 34.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩79B | ₩130B | ₩186B | ₩222B | ₩253B | ₩275B | ₩283B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | ₩89B | ₩107B | ₩121B | ₩132B | ₩136B |
| − Capital spending | ₩90B | ₩16B | ₩111B | ₩133B | ₩152B | ₩164B | ₩169B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩8.9B | ₩53B | ₩51B | ₩44B | ₩31B | ₩12B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | ₩111B | ₩144B | ₩179B | ₩212B | ₩238B |
| Discount factor | — | — | 0.911 | 0.831 | 0.757 | 0.690 | 0.629 |
| Present value | — | — | ₩101B | ₩120B | ₩135B | ₩146B | ₩149B |
Terminal value ₩3.4T, worth ₩2.2T today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩21,648 a share)Now 6.78× | ₩98,2884.54× | ₩152,8447.06× | ₩212,5009.82× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | ₩104,857 | ₩109,798 | ₩115,468 | ₩122,042 | ₩129,755 |
| 9.2% | ₩98,424 | ₩102,655 | ₩107,465 | ₩112,985 | ₩119,383 |
| 9.7% | ₩92,739 | ₩96,391 | ₩100,509 | ₩105,192 | ₩110,565 |
| 10.2% | ₩87,680 | ₩90,854 | ₩94,409 | ₩98,418 | ₩102,976 |
| 10.7% | ₩83,151 | ₩85,927 | ₩89,016 | ₩92,477 | ₩96,380 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩4.5T
- Enterprise value
- ₩4.3T
- P/E
- 24.9×
- P/B
- 6.8×
- P/S
- 7.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩130,100 | ₩68,600 |
| Market cap | ₩4T | ₩2.1T |
| P/E | 26.8× | 25.1× |
| P/B | 6.8× | 4.8× |
| P/S | 7.9× | 6.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.0% | 0.6% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanil Electric | 24.9× | 6.8× | 7.6× | — | 0.9% |
| LS Electric | 57.7× | 10.5× | 3.9× | 35.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 28.8× | 6.5× | 2.6× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 18.0× | 6.8× | 3.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 105.6× | 12.8× | 2.3× | 55.0× | 0.0% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.1× | 0.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Iljin Electric | 17.9× | 3.8× | 1.1× | — | 0.9% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.8× | 6.7× | 2.5× | 45.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sanil Electric / 산일전기 / 062040 / KRX:062040
Source: KRX statistical information