ELP이엘피
063760 · KOSDAQ · ₩063760 · 이엘피
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩52B
- Equity value
- −₩34B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,595, the model needs an operating margin of 2.9% every year (it uses −7.9%).
- Margins ranged from −26.3% to 8.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 39% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 3.2× against a typical 18.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−7.9%).
Revenue growth
- 5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -7.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 6.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 20.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩36B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩17B
- Shares
- 9,325,130
- Share price
- ₩2,595
- Market cap
- ₩24B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩21B | ₩28B | ₩27B | ₩37B | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩42B | ₩43B |
| Growth | −9.3% | 30.8% | −2.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩5.6B | −₩4.2B | ₩2.3B | −₩3B | −₩3.1B | −₩3.2B | −₩3.3B | −₩3.4B |
| EBIT margin | −26.3% | −15.0% | 8.4% | −7.9% | −7.9% | −7.9% | −7.9% | −7.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩4.1B | −₩3B | ₩1.7B | −₩2.1B | −₩2.2B | −₩2.3B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.6B | ₩247M | ₩130M | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B |
| − Working capital | −₩3B | −₩8.5B | ₩4.8B | ₩367M | ₩347M | ₩322M | ₩293M | ₩260M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩3B | −₩3.1B | −₩3.2B | −₩3.3B | −₩3.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩2.8B | −₩2.7B | −₩2.6B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.3B |
Terminal value −₩55B, worth −₩39B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩6,963 a share)Now 0.37× | ₩2,2180.32× | ₩3,1490.45× | ₩6,0810.87× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩799 a share)Now 3.25× | ₩2,5953.25× | ₩14,53218.2× | ₩23,86829.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩269 a share)Now 9.66× | ₩8733.25× | ₩4,88718.2× | ₩8,02529.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩24B
- Enterprise value
- ₩6.8B
- P/E
- 3.2×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,415 | ₩2,060 | ₩3,525 | ₩3,420 | ₩7,570 |
| Market cap | ₩23B | ₩19B | ₩33B | ₩32B | ₩71B |
| P/E | 8.7× | — | 57.9× | — | — |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.7× | 1.5× | 1.4× | 2.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.1% | 2.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: ELP / 이엘피 / 063760 / KRX:063760
Source: KRX statistical information