Danal

064260 · KOSDAQ · ₩064260 · 다날

₩3,870▼ ₩120 (3.01%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩9.9B
Equity value
−₩104B
WACC
6.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,870, the model needs an operating margin of 14.2% every year (it uses 0.9%).

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -8.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -5.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 0.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.71

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.57, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩228B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩185B
+ Stakes and investments
₩94B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩3.7B
Shares
75,645,457
Share price
₩3,870
Market cap
₩293B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩295B₩261B₩225B₩208B₩196B₩191B₩191B₩197B
Growth0.2%−11.7%−13.6%−8.6%−5.7%−2.8%0.1%3.0%
EBIT₩3.5B₩1.4B₩2.3B₩1.9B₩1.8B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.8B
EBIT margin1.2%0.5%1.0%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%0.9%
After-tax EBIT₩2.5B₩1B₩1.7B₩1.4B₩1.3B₩1.2B₩1.2B₩1.3B
+ Depreciation———₩8.7B₩8.2B₩8B₩8B₩8.3B
− Capital spending₩21B₩21B₩1.6B₩11B₩10B₩9.9B₩9.9B₩10B
− Working capital−₩51B₩28B−₩4.7B−₩7.8B−₩4.7B−₩2.2B₩76M₩2.3B
Free cash flow———₩7.1B₩4.1B₩1.5B−₩739M−₩3B
Discount factor———0.9390.8820.8290.7780.731
Present value———₩6.7B₩3.6B₩1.3B−₩576M−₩2.2B

Terminal value −₩26B, worth −₩19B today: 189% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,002 a share)Now 0.97×₩3,3090.83×₩4,6851.17×₩9,4412.36×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.5%—————
6.0%—————
6.5%—————
7.0%—————
7.5%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩293B
Enterprise value
₩473B
P/E
—
P/B
1.0×
P/S
1.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩7,200₩2,845₩4,665₩5,000₩14,750
Market cap₩545B₩215B₩353B₩378B₩1.1T
P/E—29.7×——19.8×
P/B1.8×0.7×1.2×1.2×3.3×
P/S2.4×0.8×1.2×1.3×3.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Danal—1.0×1.3×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever47.8×4.8×2.0×—0.6%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss8.0×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.5×1.5×2.0×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Danal / 다날 / 064260 / KRX:064260

Source: KRX statistical information