SNT MotivSNT모티브
064960 · KOSPI · ₩064960 · SNT모티브
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩63,684
vs the current price (₩24,050)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.2T
- Equity value
- ₩1.5T
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 165% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩24,050, the model needs an operating margin of 2.9% every year (it uses 10.2%).
- Today's P/E is 6.9× against a typical 7.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩43,503
- +80.9%
- Base
- ₩63,684
- +164.8%
- Bull
- ₩98,040
- +307.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.2%).
Revenue growth
- -1.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 10.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 15.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.32, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩996B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩359B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩6B
- Shares
- 23,834,272
- Share price
- ₩24,050
- Market cap
- ₩573B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.1T | ₩969B | ₩1T | ₩984B | ₩982B | ₩991B | ₩1T | ₩1T |
| Growth | 8.7% | −14.7% | 3.9% | −1.2% | −0.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩117B | ₩98B | ₩103B | ₩100B | ₩100B | ₩101B | ₩103B | ₩106B |
| EBIT margin | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩85B | ₩71B | ₩74B | ₩73B | ₩73B | ₩73B | ₩75B | ₩77B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩42B | ₩42B | ₩43B | ₩43B | ₩45B |
| − Capital spending | ₩28B | ₩50B | ₩85B | ₩53B | ₩53B | ₩54B | ₩55B | ₩56B |
| − Working capital | −₩95B | −₩19B | ₩8.2B | −₩1.8B | −₩297M | ₩1.3B | ₩2.8B | ₩4.6B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩64B | ₩62B | ₩61B | ₩61B | ₩61B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩59B | ₩54B | ₩49B | ₩46B | ₩43B |
Terminal value ₩1.3T, worth ₩915B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩43,296 a share)Now 0.56× | ₩25,8980.60× | ₩29,1470.67× | ₩35,3110.82× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,477 a share)Now 6.92× | ₩20,8235.99× | ₩25,3547.29× | ₩33,1509.53× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,000 a share)Now 6.01× | ₩23,9565.99× | ₩29,1697.29× | ₩38,1379.53× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩66,313 | ₩70,183 | ₩74,926 | ₩80,877 | ₩88,567 |
| 6.9% | ₩61,860 | ₩64,980 | ₩68,731 | ₩73,328 | ₩79,095 |
| 7.4% | ₩58,105 | ₩60,660 | ₩63,684 | ₩67,319 | ₩71,773 |
| 7.9% | ₩54,896 | ₩57,016 | ₩59,493 | ₩62,422 | ₩65,945 |
| 8.4% | ₩52,122 | ₩53,902 | ₩55,957 | ₩58,357 | ₩61,195 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩573B
- Enterprise value
- ₩215B
- P/E
- 6.9×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 7.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩34,500 | ₩22,204 | ₩23,802 | ₩23,140 | ₩25,923 |
| Market cap | ₩822B | ₩529B | ₩567B | ₩552B | ₩618B |
| P/E | 11.8× | 5.1× | 6.5× | 6.3× | 7.7× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.7× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.9% | 4.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNT Motiv | 6.9× | 0.6× | 0.6× | — | 7.1% |
| Hyundai Mobis | 8.2× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 2.0% |
| SL | 6.0× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| HL Mando | 10.5× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 2.0% |
| Samhyun | — | 13.0× | 18.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai WIA | 19.0× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| SNT Dynamics | 13.6× | 0.7× | 0.9× | — | 6.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.5× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 2.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: SNT Motiv / SNT모티브 / 064960 / KRX:064960
Source: KRX statistical information