Shinsung Delta Tech신성델타테크
065350 · KOSDAQ · ₩065350 · 신성델타테크
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩51
vs the current price (₩30,250)
- Enterprise value
- ₩398B
- Equity value
- ₩1.4B
- WACC
- 6.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 100% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩30,250, the model needs an operating margin of 7.8% every year (it uses 3.5%).
- Or revenue growth +39.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 28.3× against a typical 19.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩51
- −99.8%
- Bull
- ₩27,376
- −9.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.5%).
Revenue growth
- 6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 18.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.62
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.43, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩331B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩48B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩114B
- Shares
- 27,483,948
- Share price
- ₩30,250
- Market cap
- ₩831B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩834B | ₩910B | ₩945B | ₩1.1T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T |
| Growth | 5.1% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩30B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩42B | ₩44B | ₩45B |
| EBIT margin | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩22B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩32B | ₩33B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩52B | ₩55B | ₩57B | ₩59B | ₩61B |
| − Capital spending | ₩33B | ₩32B | ₩95B | ₩64B | ₩67B | ₩70B | ₩73B | ₩75B |
| − Working capital | ₩22B | ₩11B | ₩14B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩9.8B | ₩8.6B | ₩7.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.2B | ₩5.8B | ₩7.7B | ₩9.5B | ₩12B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.939 | 0.882 | 0.829 | 0.778 | 0.731 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3.9B | ₩5.1B | ₩6.4B | ₩7.4B | ₩8.5B |
Terminal value ₩502B, worth ₩367B today: 92% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,755 a share)Now 3.10× | ₩16,9211.73× | ₩58,8216.03× | ₩98,22310.1× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,069 a share)Now 28.3× | ₩12,27511.5× | ₩20,36519.0× | ₩67,94263.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,442 a share)Now 21.0× | ₩16,55211.5× | ₩27,46119.0× | ₩91,61563.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | ₩2,127 | ₩3,289 | ₩4,776 | ₩6,754 | ₩9,520 |
| 6.0% | ₩234 | ₩1,072 | ₩2,113 | ₩3,444 | ₩5,214 |
| 6.5% | — | — | ₩51 | ₩975 | ₩2,157 |
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩831B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- P/E
- 28.3×
- P/B
- 3.1×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩56,700 | ₩115,900 | ₩41,150 | ₩7,800 | ₩16,600 |
| Market cap | ₩1.6T | ₩3.2T | ₩1.1T | ₩214B | ₩456B |
| P/E | 71.8× | — | 90.3× | 12.7× | 18.6× |
| P/B | 6.3× | 15.3× | 5.5× | 1.3× | 3.0× |
| P/S | 1.6× | 3.5× | 1.4× | 0.3× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinsung Delta Tech | 28.3× | 3.1× | 0.8× | — | 0.4% |
| LS Electric | 61.0× | 11.1× | 4.2× | 37.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.1× | 7.2× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 106.8× | 12.9× | 2.4× | 55.6× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.2× | 7.4× | 8.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.2× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 30.5× | 7.3× | 3.3× | 46.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Shinsung Delta Tech / 신성델타테크 / 065350 / KRX:065350
Source: KRX statistical information