Anterogen안트로젠
065660 · KOSDAQ · ₩065660 · 안트로젠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,542
vs the current price (₩13,960)
- Enterprise value
- −₩27B
- Equity value
- ₩15B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 89% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩13,960, the model needs an operating margin of 79.6% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- Margins ranged from −78.1% to −32.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,100
- −85.0%
- Base
- ₩1,542
- −89.0%
- Bull
- ₩761
- −94.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- 4.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩8.4B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩43B
- Shares
- 10,006,100
- Share price
- ₩13,960
- Market cap
- ₩140B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩6.5B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.5B | ₩8.8B | ₩9.1B | ₩9.5B | ₩9.8B | ₩10B |
| Growth | −1.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩5.1B | −₩3.7B | −₩2.4B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.9B | −₩2B | −₩2B |
| EBIT margin | −78.1% | −54.1% | −32.3% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩3.7B | −₩2.7B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩263M | ₩274M | ₩284M | ₩294M | ₩303M |
| − Capital spending | ₩203M | ₩312M | ₩266M | ₩324M | ₩338M | ₩350M | ₩362M | ₩373M |
| − Working capital | ₩2.8B | −₩17B | −₩346M | ₩154M | ₩147M | ₩139M | ₩129M | ₩117M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩1.5B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.4B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.2B |
Terminal value −₩30B, worth −₩21B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,036 a share)Now 1.74× | ₩9,6391.20× | ₩13,9601.74× | ₩33,1034.12× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩1,502 | ₩1,243 | ₩926 | ₩526 | ₩7 |
| 6.9% | ₩1,735 | ₩1,522 | ₩1,266 | ₩950 | ₩553 |
| 7.4% | ₩1,932 | ₩1,754 | ₩1,542 | ₩1,288 | ₩975 |
| 7.9% | ₩2,100 | ₩1,949 | ₩1,772 | ₩1,563 | ₩1,310 |
| 8.4% | ₩2,245 | ₩2,116 | ₩1,966 | ₩1,791 | ₩1,583 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩140B
- Enterprise value
- ₩97B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.7×
- P/S
- 16.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩46,850 | ₩18,890 | ₩17,090 | ₩14,700 | ₩64,300 |
| Market cap | ₩469B | ₩189B | ₩171B | ₩147B | ₩643B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 5.4× | 1.7× | 1.3× | 1.4× | 5.5× |
| P/S | 62.2× | 27.3× | 26.3× | 22.3× | 79.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anterogen | — | 1.7× | 16.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 45.3× | 6.0× | 12.6× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 18.9× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.2% |
| Shinsegae | 14.4× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 2.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.6× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Anterogen / 안트로젠 / 065660 / KRX:065660
Source: KRX statistical information