Haatz하츠
066130 · KOSDAQ · ₩066130 · 하츠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,467
vs the current price (₩3,230)
- Enterprise value
- ₩123B
- Equity value
- ₩121B
- WACC
- 7.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 193% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,230, the model needs an operating margin of 2.8% every year (it uses 5.6%).
- Today's P/E is 5.5× against a typical 9.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩3,832
- +18.6%
- Base
- ₩9,467
- +193.1%
- Bull
- ₩19,769
- +512.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.6%).
Revenue growth
- 7.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 23.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩171B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩5B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 12,800,000
- Share price
- ₩3,230
- Market cap
- ₩41B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩155B | ₩187B | ₩177B | ₩183B | ₩195B | ₩205B | ₩213B | ₩220B |
| Growth | 8.0% | 20.6% | −5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.3B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| EBIT margin | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.6B | ₩7.8B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.9B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.7B | ₩8.9B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.8B | ₩5.9B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.1B | ₩2.7B | ₩13B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.6B | ₩7B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.5B |
| − Working capital | ₩5.9B | ₩9.3B | −₩11B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.4B | ₩2B | ₩1.5B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩3.2B | ₩3.9B | ₩4.5B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.934 | 0.873 | 0.815 | 0.762 | 0.711 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.7B | ₩4B | ₩4.2B |
Terminal value ₩147B, worth ₩105B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,379 a share)Now 0.34× | ₩4,3300.46× | ₩6,1010.65× | ₩11,0041.17× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩591 a share)Now 5.47× | ₩3,4655.87× | ₩5,3739.10× | ₩12,33420.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,113 a share)Now 2.90× | ₩6,5265.87× | ₩10,1209.10× | ₩23,23120.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | ₩10,422 | ₩11,138 | ₩12,027 | ₩13,163 | ₩14,666 |
| 6.5% | ₩9,386 | ₩9,937 | ₩10,605 | ₩11,435 | ₩12,495 |
| 7.0% | ₩8,523 | ₩8,954 | ₩9,467 | ₩10,089 | ₩10,862 |
| 7.5% | ₩7,794 | ₩8,135 | ₩8,535 | ₩9,012 | ₩9,590 |
| 8.0% | ₩7,170 | ₩7,443 | ₩7,759 | ₩8,129 | ₩8,571 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩41B
- Enterprise value
- ₩44B
- P/E
- 5.5×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,490 | ₩5,380 | ₩5,690 | ₩5,170 | ₩9,510 |
| Market cap | ₩57B | ₩69B | ₩73B | ₩66B | ₩122B |
| P/E | 6.3× | 7.8× | 12.1× | 14.4× | 15.1× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 1.3× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 2.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haatz | 5.5× | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 4.3% |
| LS Electric | 61.0× | 11.1× | 4.2× | 37.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.1× | 7.2× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 106.8× | 12.9× | 2.4× | 55.6× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.2× | 7.4× | 8.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.2× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 30.5× | 7.3× | 3.3× | 46.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Haatz / 하츠 / 066130 / KRX:066130
Source: KRX statistical information