Q.S.ICo큐에스아이
066310 · KOSDAQ · ₩066310 · 큐에스아이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,269
vs the current price (₩7,440)
- Enterprise value
- ₩6.3B
- Equity value
- ₩21B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 70% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩7,440, the model needs an operating margin of 17.9% every year (it uses 4.5%).
- Margins ranged from −22.7% to 9.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 91% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 10.7× against a typical 31.4× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,629
- −78.1%
- Base
- ₩2,269
- −69.5%
- Bull
- ₩3,522
- −52.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.5%).
Revenue growth
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 9.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 11.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.35, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩26B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩15B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩194M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 9,271,621
- Share price
- ₩7,440
- Market cap
- ₩69B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩19B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩28B |
| Growth | −17.7% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩4.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩294M | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B |
| EBIT margin | −22.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩3.1B | ₩859M | ₩213M | ₩848M | ₩859M | ₩876M | ₩898M | ₩925M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩1.6B | ₩3B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B |
| − Working capital | −₩3.1B | ₩3.2B | −₩2.1B | ₩82M | ₩145M | ₩200M | ₩268M | ₩330M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩194M | ₩134M | ₩85M | ₩24M | −₩29M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩180M | ₩117M | ₩69M | ₩18M | −₩20M |
Terminal value ₩8.4B, worth ₩5.9B today: 94% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,883 a share)Now 0.75× | ₩7,9760.81× | ₩10,4101.05× | ₩20,7082.10× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩693 a share)Now 10.7× | ₩7,03210.1× | ₩21,78931.4× | ₩52,36075.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩883 a share)Now 8.43× | ₩8,95510.1× | ₩27,74831.4× | ₩66,68175.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩2,465 | ₩2,461 | ₩2,455 | ₩2,446 | ₩2,434 |
| 6.8% | ₩2,375 | ₩2,365 | ₩2,352 | ₩2,335 | ₩2,312 |
| 7.3% | ₩2,300 | ₩2,286 | ₩2,269 | ₩2,247 | ₩2,219 |
| 7.8% | ₩2,237 | ₩2,220 | ₩2,200 | ₩2,176 | ₩2,146 |
| 8.3% | ₩2,182 | ₩2,164 | ₩2,143 | ₩2,117 | ₩2,086 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩69B
- Enterprise value
- ₩54B
- P/E
- 10.7×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 2.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,420 | ₩10,370 | ₩9,920 | ₩9,430 | ₩26,050 |
| Market cap | ₩69B | ₩96B | ₩92B | ₩87B | ₩242B |
| P/E | 27.3× | 29.6× | 33.9× | 12.5× | 155.0× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 1.1× | 1.1× | 1.1× | 3.3× |
| P/S | 3.0× | 4.5× | 4.9× | 3.9× | 8.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.3% | 1.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q.S.ICo | 10.7× | 0.8× | 2.7× | — | 1.3% |
| SK hynix | 6.9× | 4.2× | 5.9× | — | 0.2% |
| DB HiTek | 12.5× | 1.8× | 2.8× | — | 0.8% |
| Fadu | — | 39.2× | 13.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Hana Micron | 14.4× | 4.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Jeju Semiconductor | 10.5× | 5.4× | 3.6× | — | 0.0% |
| SFA Semicon | — | 3.0× | 3.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.5× | 4.4× | 3.4× | — | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Q.S.ICo / 큐에스아이 / 066310 / KRX:066310
Source: KRX statistical information