Bucket Studio버킷스튜디오
066410 · KOSDAQ · ₩066410 · 버킷스튜디오
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩41B
- Equity value
- −₩72B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −47.3% to −7.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-27.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩19B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩1.4B
- − Minority interests
- ₩29B
- Shares
- 138,453,818
- Share price
- ₩1,153
- Market cap
- ₩160B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩19B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| Growth | −57.7% | −7.6% | −1.1% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩6.5B | −₩8.3B | −₩6.2B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.2B | −₩3.1B | −₩3.1B | −₩3.2B |
| EBIT margin | −34.5% | −47.3% | −35.8% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩4.7B | −₩6B | −₩4.5B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.3B | −₩2.2B | −₩2.2B | −₩2.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩344M | ₩321M | ₩310M | ₩309M | ₩318M |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.2B | ₩135M | ₩44M | ₩430M | ₩401M | ₩387M | ₩386M | ₩398M |
| − Working capital | ₩15B | ₩21B | ₩51B | ₩191M | ₩115M | ₩56M | ₩3.1M | −₩46M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩2.8B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.3B | −₩2.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.869 | 0.810 | 0.755 | 0.704 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩2.6B | −₩2.2B | −₩1.9B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.6B |
Terminal value −₩45B, worth −₩31B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩847 a share)Now 1.36× | ₩6570.78× | ₩8090.96× | ₩3,1283.69× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩160B
- Enterprise value
- ₩161B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 8.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,153 | ₩1,153 | ₩1,153 | ₩1,620 | ₩5,550 |
| Market cap | ₩160B | ₩160B | ₩160B | ₩224B | ₩768B |
| P/E | — | — | 41.8× | — | 15.1× |
| P/B | 1.2× | 0.9× | 0.9× | 1.4× | 5.3× |
| P/S | 9.2× | 9.1× | 8.5× | 5.0× | 29.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucket Studio | — | 1.4× | 8.4× | — | 0.0% |
| SK Telecom | 21.7× | 1.0× | 0.9× | 4.9× | 2.2% |
| KT | 9.0× | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 5.2% |
| LG Uplus | 11.3× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 2.9× | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Futurenet | 36.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 4.8% |
| NICE Information & Telecommunication | 5.5× | 0.8× | 0.3× | 1.6× | 3.1% |
| Korea Information & Communication | 8.0× | 0.8× | 0.3× | 2.1× | 3.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.1× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 2.5× | 3.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Bucket Studio / 버킷스튜디오 / 066410 / KRX:066410
Source: KRX statistical information