LG ElectronicsLG전자
066570 · KOSPI · ₩LGE · LG전자
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩169,148
vs the current price (₩157,500)
- Enterprise value
- ₩37T
- Equity value
- ₩30T
- WACC
- 8.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩27,304
- −82.7%
- Base
- ₩169,148
- +7.4%
- Bull
- ₩405,558
- +157.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.1%).
Revenue growth
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 1.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.92
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.89, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩93T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩4.1T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3T
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩5.1T
- Shares
- 180,065,937
- incl. 17,181,299 preferred
- Share price
- ₩157,500
- Market cap
- ₩27T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩84T | ₩88T | ₩89T | ₩95T | ₩98T | ₩100T | ₩103T | ₩106T |
| Growth | 0.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.5T | ₩3.4T | ₩2.5T | ₩3.9T | ₩4T | ₩4.1T | ₩4.2T | ₩4.3T |
| EBIT margin | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.6T | ₩2.5T | ₩1.8T | ₩2.8T | ₩2.9T | ₩3T | ₩3.1T | ₩3.2T |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3.4T | ₩3.5T | ₩3.6T | ₩3.7T | ₩3.8T |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.1T | ₩3.7T | ₩3.9T | ₩4.3T | ₩4.4T | ₩4.5T | ₩4.6T | ₩4.8T |
| − Working capital | −₩852B | ₩1.6T | −₩531B | ₩27B | ₩30B | ₩33B | ₩36B | ₩40B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.9T | ₩2T | ₩2T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.2T |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.922 | 0.850 | 0.783 | 0.722 | 0.666 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.8T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.4T |
Terminal value ₩43T, worth ₩29T today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩148,771 a share)Now 1.06× | ₩98,5040.66× | ₩132,7430.89× | ₩196,3471.32× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩5,780 a share)Now 27.3× | ₩65,89111.4× | ₩117,51520.3× | ₩249,93543.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩14,840 a share)Now 10.6× | ₩169,18711.4× | ₩301,74020.3× | ₩641,75143.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | ₩177,115 | ₩191,446 | ₩208,385 | ₩228,717 | ₩253,579 |
| 8.0% | ₩161,058 | ₩173,084 | ₩187,114 | ₩203,699 | ₩223,606 |
| 8.5% | ₩147,169 | ₩157,373 | ₩169,148 | ₩182,886 | ₩199,125 |
| 9.0% | ₩135,038 | ₩143,783 | ₩153,775 | ₩165,305 | ₩178,758 |
| 9.5% | ₩124,356 | ₩131,912 | ₩140,475 | ₩150,261 | ₩161,552 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩26T
- Enterprise value
- ₩28T
- P/E
- 24.7×
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩91,900 | ₩83,500 | ₩101,800 | ₩86,500 | ₩138,000 |
| Market cap | ₩15T | ₩14T | ₩17T | ₩14T | ₩22T |
| P/E | 15.6× | 37.0× | 23.3× | 11.8× | 21.8× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.8× | 0.7× | 1.3× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.5% | 1.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Electronics | 24.7× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Samsung Electronics | 8.7× | 2.3× | 2.7× | — | 0.8% |
| Hanwha Vision | 16.4× | 2.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 37.6× | 3.4× | 6.1× | — | 0.9% |
| KMW | — | 4.9× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 12.9× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Solid | 9.1× | 1.3× | 1.6× | 12.6× | 0.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 12.9× | 2.2× | 2.1× | 12.6× | 0.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: LG Electronics / LG전자 / 066570 / KRX:066570
Source: KRX statistical information