Kukbo Design국보디자인
066620 · KOSDAQ · ₩066620 · 국보디자인
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩116,425
vs the current price (₩22,650)
- Enterprise value
- ₩545B
- Equity value
- ₩873B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 414% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩22,650, the model needs an operating margin of −2.2% every year (it uses 8.8%).
- 74% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 1.5× against a typical 4.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩84,013
- +270.9%
- Base
- ₩116,425
- +414.0%
- Bull
- ₩170,814
- +654.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.8%).
Revenue growth
- 5.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- -9.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.2, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩425B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩328B
- Shares
- 7,500,000
- Share price
- ₩22,650
- Market cap
- ₩170B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩401B | ₩422B | ₩439B | ₩447B | ₩468B | ₩486B | ₩503B | ₩519B |
| Growth | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩32B | ₩42B | ₩46B | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩43B | ₩44B | ₩46B |
| EBIT margin | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩23B | ₩30B | ₩33B | ₩29B | ₩30B | ₩31B | ₩32B | ₩33B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B |
| − Working capital | −₩29B | ₩24B | −₩36B | −₩2.1B | −₩2B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.5B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩29B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩24B | ₩24B | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩21B |
Terminal value ₩617B, worth ₩432B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩65,293 a share)Now 0.35× | ₩31,9810.49× | ₩35,0450.54× | ₩47,4170.73× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩14,750 a share)Now 1.54× | ₩49,3393.34× | ₩58,8493.99× | ₩95,2776.46× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩39,856 a share)Now 0.57× | ₩133,3173.34× | ₩159,0133.99× | ₩257,4456.46× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩118,076 | ₩124,943 | ₩133,382 | ₩144,003 | ₩157,773 |
| 6.9% | ₩111,614 | ₩117,244 | ₩124,033 | ₩132,377 | ₩142,877 |
| 7.4% | ₩106,168 | ₩110,858 | ₩116,425 | ₩123,137 | ₩131,386 |
| 7.9% | ₩101,516 | ₩105,477 | ₩110,114 | ₩115,618 | ₩122,254 |
| 8.4% | ₩97,498 | ₩100,880 | ₩104,795 | ₩109,381 | ₩114,822 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩170B
- Enterprise value
- −₩159B
- P/E
- 1.5×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩23,400 | ₩18,050 | ₩14,270 | ₩16,300 | ₩21,000 |
| Market cap | ₩176B | ₩135B | ₩107B | ₩122B | ₩158B |
| P/E | 4.4× | 3.3× | 3.9× | 5.9× | 8.1× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.8× | 0.7× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.1% | 2.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kukbo Design | 1.5× | 0.3× | 0.4× | — | 2.2% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 22.7× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.9% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 0.0% |
| GS Engineering & Construction | 19.3× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| DL E&C | 3.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.5% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.4× | 1.4× | 1.2× | 8.1× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.9× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.4× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 8.1× | 1.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Kukbo Design / 국보디자인 / 066620 / KRX:066620
Source: KRX statistical information