Theragen Etex

066700 · KOSDAQ · ₩066700 · 테라젠이텍스

₩1,975▼ ₩45 (2.23%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,329

vs the current price (₩1,975)

Enterprise value
₩144B
Equity value
₩122B
WACC
7.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 69% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,975, the model needs an operating margin of 3.5% every year (it uses 4.5%).
  • Or revenue growth −22.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from −4.5% to 5.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 27.6× against a typical 20.0× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩414
−79.1%
Base
₩3,329
+68.6%
Bull
₩8,720
+341.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.5%).

Revenue growth

  • 12%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 9.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 27%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩275B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩2.5B
+ Stakes and investments
₩1B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩20B
Shares
36,683,320
Share price
₩1,975
Market cap
₩72B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩222B₩250B₩272B₩308B₩338B₩364B₩383B₩394B
Growth14.7%12.6%8.8%12.0%9.7%7.5%5.2%3.0%
EBIT₩12B₩12B₩10B₩14B₩15B₩16B₩17B₩18B
EBIT margin5.2%5.0%3.8%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%4.5%
After-tax EBIT₩8.4B₩9.1B₩7.4B₩10B₩11B₩12B₩12B₩13B
+ Depreciation———₩8.3B₩9.1B₩9.8B₩10B₩11B
− Capital spending₩5.6B₩14B₩5.2B₩10B₩12B₩12B₩13B₩13B
− Working capital−₩343M₩34B₩13B₩8.9B₩8.1B₩6.9B₩5.1B₩3.1B
Free cash flow———−₩1B₩592M₩2.5B₩4.7B₩7B
Discount factor———0.9330.8700.8120.7570.706
Present value———−₩950M₩515M₩2B₩3.6B₩4.9B

Terminal value ₩190B, worth ₩134B today: 93% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,367 a share)Now 0.59×₩2,3260.69×₩3,0290.90×₩4,4821.33×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩72 a share)Now 27.6×₩3234.51×₩1,43120.0×₩3,57149.9×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.2%₩3,896₩4,135₩4,429₩4,799₩5,281
6.7%₩3,432₩3,608₩3,820₩4,079₩4,406
7.2%₩3,044₩3,175₩3,329₩3,515₩3,741
7.7%₩2,715₩2,813₩2,926₩3,060₩3,219
8.2%₩2,433₩2,506₩2,590₩2,686₩2,799

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩72B
Enterprise value
₩73B
P/E
27.6×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,160₩3,120₩4,470₩4,420₩6,410
Market cap₩116B₩114B₩164B₩162B₩235B
P/E10.9×—5.8×17.0×—
P/B0.8×1.0×1.2×1.1×1.1×
P/S0.4×0.5×0.7×0.8×1.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Theragen Etex27.6×0.6×0.3×—0.0%
Samsung Biologics31.9×7.6×13.9×—0.0%
Celltrion27.9×2.5×9.0×—0.0%
Alteogen79.4×28.6×60.3×—0.1%
SK biopharmaceuticals15.2×6.0×7.1×—0.0%
Yuhan23.2×2.3×2.4×30.2×0.8%
HLB—15.4×54.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.9×6.8×11.4×30.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Theragen Etex / 테라젠이텍스 / 066700 / KRX:066700

Source: KRX statistical information