Theragen Etex테라젠이텍스
066700 · KOSDAQ · ₩066700 · 테라젠이텍스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,329
vs the current price (₩1,975)
- Enterprise value
- ₩144B
- Equity value
- ₩122B
- WACC
- 7.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 69% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,975, the model needs an operating margin of 3.5% every year (it uses 4.5%).
- Or revenue growth −22.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −4.5% to 5.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 27.6× against a typical 20.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩414
- −79.1%
- Base
- ₩3,329
- +68.6%
- Bull
- ₩8,720
- +341.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.5%).
Revenue growth
- 12%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 27%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩275B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩2.5B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩20B
- Shares
- 36,683,320
- Share price
- ₩1,975
- Market cap
- ₩72B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩222B | ₩250B | ₩272B | ₩308B | ₩338B | ₩364B | ₩383B | ₩394B |
| Growth | 14.7% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩10B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B |
| EBIT margin | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩8.4B | ₩9.1B | ₩7.4B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩8.3B | ₩9.1B | ₩9.8B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5.6B | ₩14B | ₩5.2B | ₩10B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| − Working capital | −₩343M | ₩34B | ₩13B | ₩8.9B | ₩8.1B | ₩6.9B | ₩5.1B | ₩3.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩1B | ₩592M | ₩2.5B | ₩4.7B | ₩7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.933 | 0.870 | 0.812 | 0.757 | 0.706 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩950M | ₩515M | ₩2B | ₩3.6B | ₩4.9B |
Terminal value ₩190B, worth ₩134B today: 93% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,367 a share)Now 0.59× | ₩2,3260.69× | ₩3,0290.90× | ₩4,4821.33× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩72 a share)Now 27.6× | ₩3234.51× | ₩1,43120.0× | ₩3,57149.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | ₩3,896 | ₩4,135 | ₩4,429 | ₩4,799 | ₩5,281 |
| 6.7% | ₩3,432 | ₩3,608 | ₩3,820 | ₩4,079 | ₩4,406 |
| 7.2% | ₩3,044 | ₩3,175 | ₩3,329 | ₩3,515 | ₩3,741 |
| 7.7% | ₩2,715 | ₩2,813 | ₩2,926 | ₩3,060 | ₩3,219 |
| 8.2% | ₩2,433 | ₩2,506 | ₩2,590 | ₩2,686 | ₩2,799 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩72B
- Enterprise value
- ₩73B
- P/E
- 27.6×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,160 | ₩3,120 | ₩4,470 | ₩4,420 | ₩6,410 |
| Market cap | ₩116B | ₩114B | ₩164B | ₩162B | ₩235B |
| P/E | 10.9× | — | 5.8× | 17.0× | — |
| P/B | 0.8× | 1.0× | 1.2× | 1.1× | 1.1× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 1.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theragen Etex | 27.6× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 31.9× | 7.6× | 13.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 79.4× | 28.6× | 60.3× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.2× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.2× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.4× | 54.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.8× | 11.4× | 30.2× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Theragen Etex / 테라젠이텍스 / 066700 / KRX:066700
Source: KRX statistical information