Hansung Cleantech한성크린텍
066980 · KOSDAQ · ₩066980 · 한성크린텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩11B
- Equity value
- −₩4.5B
- WACC
- 7.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,279, the model needs an operating margin of 4.6% every year (it uses 0.8%).
- Or revenue growth +52.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −32.7% to 2.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩992
- −22.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.8%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.83
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.75, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩194B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩17B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩4.8B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩3.1B
- Shares
- 53,771,203
- Share price
- ₩1,279
- Market cap
- ₩69B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩368B | ₩155B | ₩200B | ₩175B | ₩163B | ₩157B | ₩157B | ₩162B |
| Growth | 14.2% | −57.9% | 28.8% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩1.4B | −₩51B | ₩2.8B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B |
| EBIT margin | 0.4% | −32.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩987M | −₩37B | ₩2.1B | ₩1B | ₩945M | ₩912M | ₩911M | ₩938M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.9B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.3B | ₩3.5B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B |
| − Working capital | ₩21B | −₩68B | ₩7.8B | −₩78M | −₩47M | −₩23M | −₩1.3M | ₩19M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩567M | ₩503M | ₩463M | ₩441M | ₩434M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.928 | 0.862 | 0.800 | 0.743 | 0.689 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩526M | ₩434M | ₩371M | ₩327M | ₩299M |
Terminal value ₩13B, worth ₩9.2B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,105 a share)Now 1.16× | ₩8100.73× | ₩1,3201.19× | ₩2,2482.03× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | — | — | — | — | ₩21 |
| 7.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩69B
- Enterprise value
- ₩81B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.2×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,223 | ₩1,686 | ₩1,647 | ₩3,595 | ₩4,630 |
| Market cap | ₩66B | ₩91B | ₩89B | ₩193B | ₩249B |
| P/E | 621.8× | — | 99.1× | — | 11.9× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.5× | 0.7× | 1.7× | 2.6× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.6× | 0.2× | 0.6× | 1.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansung Cleantech | — | 1.2× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung E&A | 18.6× | 2.5× | 1.3× | — | 1.3% |
| HD Hyundai Marine Solution | 22.1× | 8.3× | 3.4× | — | 2.4% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction | 94.3× | 5.7× | 6.3× | 46.9× | 1.5% |
| POSCO DX | 90.9× | 5.2× | 3.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanyang ENG | 7.5× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| SemiFive | — | 2.0× | 3.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 22.1× | 3.8× | 3.2× | 25.3× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hansung Cleantech / 한성크린텍 / 066980 / KRX:066980
Source: KRX statistical information