NVH Korea엔브이에이치코리아
067570 · KOSDAQ · ₩067570 · 엔브이에이치코리아
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩12,093
vs the current price (₩1,558)
- Enterprise value
- ₩730B
- Equity value
- ₩510B
- WACC
- 5.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 676% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,558, the model needs an operating margin of 1.8% every year (it uses 2.8%).
- Or revenue growth −24.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩12,093
- +676.2%
- Bull
- ₩58,971
- +3,685.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.8%).
Revenue growth
- 9.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 6.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 7.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.17, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.6T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩111B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩18B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩127B
- Shares
- 42,170,000
- Share price
- ₩1,558
- Market cap
- ₩66B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.4T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.9T | ₩2T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.2T |
| Growth | 11.5% | 15.7% | 2.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩63B | ₩68B | −₩22B | ₩49B | ₩53B | ₩56B | ₩59B | ₩60B |
| EBIT margin | 4.6% | 4.3% | −1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩46B | ₩49B | −₩16B | ₩35B | ₩38B | ₩41B | ₩43B | ₩44B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩92B | ₩100B | ₩106B | ₩111B | ₩114B |
| − Capital spending | ₩124B | ₩94B | ₩81B | ₩117B | ₩126B | ₩134B | ₩140B | ₩145B |
| − Working capital | ₩56B | ₩24B | −₩35B | ₩11B | ₩9.9B | ₩8.5B | ₩6.7B | ₩4.5B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩38M | ₩2B | ₩4.1B | ₩6.5B | ₩9.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.950 | 0.903 | 0.858 | 0.815 | 0.774 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩36M | ₩1.8B | ₩3.5B | ₩5.3B | ₩7.1B |
Terminal value ₩920B, worth ₩713B today: 98% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,013 a share)Now 0.31× | ₩1,9920.40× | ₩2,6250.52× | ₩4,7880.96× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩313 a share)Now 4.98× | ₩9863.15× | ₩1,5024.80× | ₩6,47720.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.2% | ₩13,680 | ₩16,604 | ₩20,824 | ₩27,450 | ₩39,377 |
| 4.7% | ₩10,829 | ₩12,874 | ₩15,659 | ₩19,676 | ₩25,984 |
| 5.2% | ₩8,657 | ₩10,148 | ₩12,093 | ₩14,742 | ₩18,564 |
| 5.7% | ₩6,949 | ₩8,070 | ₩9,488 | ₩11,337 | ₩13,855 |
| 6.2% | ₩5,572 | ₩6,437 | ₩7,502 | ₩8,848 | ₩10,604 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩66B
- Enterprise value
- ₩167B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 9.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,225 | ₩2,310 | ₩2,725 | ₩3,112 | ₩3,983 |
| Market cap | ₩94B | ₩97B | ₩115B | ₩131B | ₩168B |
| P/E | — | 8.3× | 22.8× | — | 10.9× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.8× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 6.7% | 6.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVH Korea | — | 0.3× | 0.0× | — | 9.6% |
| Hyundai Mobis | 8.2× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 2.0% |
| SL | 6.0× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| HL Mando | 10.5× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 2.0% |
| Samhyun | — | 13.0× | 18.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai WIA | 19.0× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| SNT Dynamics | 13.6× | 0.7× | 0.9× | — | 6.7% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.5× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 2.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: NVH Korea / 엔브이에이치코리아 / 067570 / KRX:067570
Source: KRX statistical information