Dawonsys다원시스
068240 · KOSDAQ · ₩068240 · 다원시스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩241B
- Equity value
- −₩504B
- WACC
- 4.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,530, the model needs an operating margin of 36.2% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- Margins ranged from −107.7% to 5.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 16.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.39, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩52B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩323B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩61B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩912M
- Shares
- 38,163,437
- Share price
- ₩2,530
- Market cap
- ₩97B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩358B | ₩302B | ₩112B | ₩47B | ₩44B | ₩43B | ₩42B | ₩44B |
| Growth | 71.1% | −15.7% | −62.8% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩19B | ₩7.6B | −₩121B | −₩9.4B | −₩8.8B | −₩8.5B | −₩8.5B | −₩8.7B |
| EBIT margin | 5.4% | 2.5% | −107.7% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩14B | ₩5.5B | −₩87B | −₩6.9B | −₩6.4B | −₩6.2B | −₩6.2B | −₩6.3B |
| + Depreciation | ₩16B | ₩15B | — | ₩2.2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩7.7B | ₩21B | ₩45B | ₩7.8B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.1B | ₩7B | ₩7.3B |
| − Working capital | ₩24B | ₩79B | −₩638B | ₩525M | ₩317M | ₩154M | ₩8.5M | −₩127M |
| Free cash flow | −₩1.5B | −₩80B | — | −₩13B | −₩12B | −₩11B | −₩11B | −₩11B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.955 | 0.911 | 0.870 | 0.830 | 0.793 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩12B | −₩11B | −₩9.9B | −₩9.3B | −₩9B |
Terminal value −₩239B, worth −₩189B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High |
|---|
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩97B
- Enterprise value
- ₩420B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- —
- P/S
- 1.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,420 | ₩9,000 | ₩13,950 | ₩14,200 | ₩29,350 |
| Market cap | ₩92B | ₩343B | ₩532B | ₩542B | ₩1.1T |
| P/E | — | 30.4× | 143.5× | — | — |
| P/B | — | 1.3× | 2.5× | 2.6× | 4.2× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 1.1× | 1.5× | 2.6× | 3.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 25.0× | 19.6× | — | 1,327.8× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawonsys | — | — | 1.8× | — | 0.0% |
| LS Electric | 57.7× | 10.5× | 3.9× | 35.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 28.8× | 6.5× | 2.6× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 18.0× | 6.8× | 3.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 105.6× | 12.8× | 2.3× | 55.0× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 24.9× | 6.8× | 7.6× | — | 0.9% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.1× | 0.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.8× | 6.8× | 3.1× | 45.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dawonsys / 다원시스 / 068240 / KRX:068240
Source: KRX statistical information