DMSDMS
068790 · KOSDAQ · ₩068790 · DMS
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,311
vs the current price (₩7,450)
- Enterprise value
- ₩182B
- Equity value
- ₩207B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩6,318
- −15.2%
- Base
- ₩9,311
- +25.0%
- Bull
- ₩14,373
- +92.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.8%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-21.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 12.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 21.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.24, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩145B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩24B
- Shares
- 22,184,124
- Share price
- ₩7,450
- Market cap
- ₩165B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩165B | ₩168B | ₩155B | ₩131B | ₩122B | ₩118B | ₩118B | ₩121B |
| Growth | −48.1% | 2.0% | −7.3% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩4.2B | ₩17B | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| EBIT margin | 17.6% | 18.3% | 2.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩3.1B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3.9B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.6B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩5.2B | ₩4.9B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.8B |
| − Working capital | −₩63B | −₩49B | −₩28B | −₩3.2B | −₩1.9B | −₩931M | −₩51M | ₩769M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩14B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩9.8B | ₩9.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩10B | ₩8.6B | ₩7.3B | ₩6.5B |
Terminal value ₩195B, worth ₩136B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩19,410 a share)Now 0.38× | ₩7,8410.40× | ₩11,8550.61× | ₩14,3910.74× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩6,426 a share)Now 1.16× | ₩6,9761.09× | ₩54,3808.46× | ₩95,05414.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩9,757 | ₩10,369 | ₩11,119 | ₩12,060 | ₩13,276 |
| 6.9% | ₩9,038 | ₩9,531 | ₩10,123 | ₩10,849 | ₩11,759 |
| 7.4% | ₩8,431 | ₩8,834 | ₩9,311 | ₩9,883 | ₩10,585 |
| 7.9% | ₩7,912 | ₩8,246 | ₩8,636 | ₩9,097 | ₩9,651 |
| 8.4% | ₩7,463 | ₩7,743 | ₩8,066 | ₩8,443 | ₩8,888 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩165B
- Enterprise value
- ₩141B
- P/E
- 1.2×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 1.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,140 | ₩8,490 | ₩9,790 | ₩8,634 | ₩9,761 |
| Market cap | ₩203B | ₩188B | ₩217B | ₩192B | ₩217B |
| P/E | 1.5× | 12.4× | 13.3× | 7.4× | 6.5× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.6× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 1.1× | 1.3× | 0.6× | 1.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.9% | 1.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DMS | 1.2× | 0.4× | 1.1× | — | 4.8% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 1,116.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: DMS / 068790 / KRX:068790
Source: KRX statistical information