Webzen

069080 · KOSDAQ · ₩069080 · 웹젠

₩11,530▲ ₩100 (0.87%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩19,241

vs the current price (₩11,530)

Enterprise value
₩445B
Equity value
₩596B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 67% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩11,530, the model needs an operating margin of 12.4% every year (it uses 25.5%).
  • Or revenue growth −14.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 17.0% to 36.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 40% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 11.5× against a typical 8.1× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩14,456
+25.4%
Base
₩19,241
+66.9%
Bull
₩27,026
+134.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (25.5%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 25.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 5.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 7.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -8.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩171B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩39B
+ Stakes and investments
₩112B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩352M
Shares
30,966,575
Share price
₩11,530
Market cap
₩357B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩196B₩215B₩174B₩154B₩144B₩139B₩138B₩143B
Growth−18.9%9.4%−18.8%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩50B₩55B₩30B₩39B₩37B₩35B₩35B₩36B
EBIT margin25.4%25.4%17.0%25.5%25.5%25.5%25.5%25.5%
After-tax EBIT₩36B₩40B₩22B₩28B₩27B₩26B₩26B₩26B
+ Depreciation———₩9.1B₩8.5B₩8.2B₩8.2B₩8.4B
− Capital spending₩21B₩12B₩10B₩11B₩11B₩10B₩10B₩11B
− Working capital−₩256B−₩28B−₩9.5B₩1.4B₩836M₩407M₩22M−₩336M
Free cash flow———₩25B₩24B₩23B₩23B₩25B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩23B₩20B₩19B₩18B₩17B

Terminal value ₩495B, worth ₩348B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩21,651 a share)Now 0.53×₩11,7790.54×₩17,2720.80×₩29,6631.37×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,003 a share)Now 11.5×₩6,4756.46×₩8,1538.13×₩13,70613.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩817 a share)Now 14.1×₩5,2766.46×₩6,6438.13×₩11,16713.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩19,696₩20,995₩22,595₩24,616₩27,249
6.8%₩18,409₩19,466₩20,743₩22,317₩24,305
7.3%₩17,326₩18,201₩19,241₩20,497₩22,045
7.8%₩16,402₩17,136₩17,997₩19,020₩20,256
8.3%₩15,605₩16,229₩16,951₩17,797₩18,804

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩357B
Enterprise value
₩315B
P/E
11.5×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
2.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩12,900₩13,710₩16,350₩15,250₩28,900
Market cap₩399B₩425B₩506B₩472B₩895B
P/E16.6×7.5×8.8×6.5×10.3×
P/B0.6×0.6×0.8×0.8×1.8×
P/S2.3×2.0×2.6×2.0×3.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Webzen11.5×0.5×2.1×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever47.8×4.8×2.0×—0.6%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss8.0×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.5×1.5×2.0×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Webzen / 웹젠 / 069080 / KRX:069080

Source: KRX statistical information