Daeho AL

069460 · KOSPI · ₩069460 · 대호에이엘

₩2,660 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
₩37B
Equity value
−₩4.1B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,660, the model needs an operating margin of 4.0% every year (it uses 2.7%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩7,066
+165.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 7.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 26.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 1.15

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩250B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩43B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2.3B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩201M
Shares
17,414,390
Share price
₩2,660
Market cap
₩46B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩182B₩169B₩216B₩269B₩285B₩300B₩313B₩322B
Growth4.3%−7.2%28.0%7.4%6.3%5.2%4.1%3.0%
EBIT₩8.4B₩5.8B₩3.5B₩7.3B₩7.7B₩8.1B₩8.4B₩8.7B
EBIT margin4.6%3.5%1.6%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%
After-tax EBIT₩6.1B₩4.2B₩2.5B₩5.3B₩5.6B₩5.9B₩6.1B₩6.3B
+ Depreciation₩3.3B₩3.7B₩4.3B₩5.4B₩5.7B₩6B₩6.3B₩6.4B
− Capital spending———₩11B₩11B₩12B₩13B₩13B
− Working capital−₩724M₩6.7B₩6.6B₩4.9B₩4.4B₩3.9B₩3.2B₩2.5B
Free cash flow———−₩5B−₩4.6B−₩4B−₩3.4B−₩2.6B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value———−₩4.6B−₩4B−₩3.3B−₩2.5B−₩1.8B

Terminal value ₩76B, worth ₩53B today: 144% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,426 a share)Now 0.60×₩2,6600.60×₩5,8661.33×₩17,5873.97×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩534₩577₩626₩683₩752
6.8%₩135₩143₩149₩153₩153
7.3%—————
7.8%—————
8.3%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩46B
Enterprise value
₩89B
P/E
—
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
32.9×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩7,000₩6,405₩6,335₩6,500₩16,925
Market cap₩122B₩112B₩110B₩113B₩295B
P/E—79.9×31.6×19.1×—
P/B1.4×1.2×1.2×1.6×4.3×
P/S0.6×0.7×0.6×0.7×2.1×
EV/EBITDA21.6×12.9×9.8×11.3×69.2×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Daeho AL—0.6×0.2×32.9×0.0%
POSCO Holdings16.6×0.4×0.3×7.8×3.5%
Korea Zinc18.9×1.6×0.9×—2.2%
Hyundai Steel—0.2×0.2×—1.9%
Poongsan8.3×0.7×0.3×6.0×2.8%
SeAH Besteel Holdings12.6×0.6×0.3×9.6×3.8%
Sama Aluminium—4.3×3.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)14.6×0.6×0.3×7.8×2.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Daeho AL / 대호에이엘 / 069460 / KRX:069460

Source: KRX statistical information