Hansaemk한세엠케이
069640 · KOSPI · ₩069640 · 한세엠케이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩374B
- Equity value
- −₩487B
- WACC
- 4.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,390, the model needs an operating margin of 3.3% every year (it uses −5.0%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−5.0%).
Revenue growth
- -2.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 28.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩254B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩114B
- Shares
- 21,735,481
- Share price
- ₩1,390
- Market cap
- ₩30B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩317B | ₩256B | ₩249B | ₩246B | ₩243B | ₩243B | ₩247B | ₩254B |
| Growth | 16.7% | −19.1% | −2.9% | −2.9% | −1.4% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩4.2B | −₩22B | −₩12B | −₩12B | −₩12B | −₩12B | −₩12B | −₩13B |
| EBIT margin | −1.3% | −8.4% | −4.9% | −5.0% | −5.0% | −5.0% | −5.0% | −5.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩3.1B | −₩16B | −₩8.8B | −₩8.9B | −₩8.8B | −₩8.8B | −₩9B | −₩9.2B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5.2B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.9B | ₩6.8B | ₩7.5B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.6B |
| − Working capital | ₩7.6B | ₩5B | −₩600M | −₩2.1B | −₩977M | ₩69M | ₩1B | ₩2.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩8.1B | −₩9B | −₩10B | −₩11B | −₩13B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.955 | 0.911 | 0.870 | 0.831 | 0.793 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩7.7B | −₩8.2B | −₩8.8B | −₩9.3B | −₩10B |
Terminal value −₩416B, worth −₩330B today: 88% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩519 a share)Now 2.68× | ₩4340.84× | ₩7601.46× | ₩1,5703.03× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩30B
- Enterprise value
- ₩137B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 2.7×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,246 | ₩2,107 | ₩3,832 | ₩5,284 | ₩7,173 |
| Market cap | ₩27B | ₩46B | ₩83B | ₩115B | ₩156B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 1.4× | 1.0× | 0.9× | 3.0× | 3.3× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansaemk | — | 2.7× | 0.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 45.3× | 6.0× | 12.6× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 18.9× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.2% |
| Shinsegae | 14.4× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 2.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.6× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hansaemk / 한세엠케이 / 069640 / KRX:069640
Source: KRX statistical information