HD-Hyundai Marine Engine

071970 · KOSPI · ₩071970 · HD현대마린엔진

₩35,550▲ ₩600 (1.72%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩35,528

vs the current price (₩35,550)

Enterprise value
₩901B
Equity value
₩1.2T
WACC
8.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩24,754
−30.4%
Base
₩35,528
−0.1%
Bull
₩53,035
+49.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Start from

Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (30.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 10.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 21.4%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.73

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.59, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩482B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩304B
Shares
33,921,495
Share price
₩35,550
Market cap
₩1.2T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩245B₩316B₩402B₩602B₩720B₩820B₩890B₩917B
Growth36.6%28.9%27.4%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩18B₩33B₩76B₩65B₩78B₩89B₩96B₩99B
EBIT margin7.3%10.5%18.9%10.8%10.8%10.8%10.8%10.8%
After-tax EBIT₩13B₩24B₩55B₩47B₩56B₩64B₩70B₩72B
+ Depreciation———₩13B₩16B₩18B₩20B₩20B
− Capital spending₩5.5B₩8.3B₩14B₩17B₩20B₩23B₩25B₩26B
− Working capital−₩2.6B₩19B₩40B₩26B₩25B₩22B₩15B₩5.7B
Free cash flow———₩18B₩27B₩38B₩49B₩61B
Discount factor———0.9260.8570.7930.7340.679
Present value———₩16B₩23B₩30B₩36B₩41B

Terminal value ₩1.1T, worth ₩754B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩15,390 a share)Now 2.31×₩15,4171.00×₩34,4702.24×₩112,9697.34×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩5,740 a share)Now 6.19×₩62,66410.9×₩93,03816.2×₩214,56137.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩5,485 a share)Now 6.48×₩59,88310.9×₩88,90916.2×₩205,03937.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.0%₩37,186₩39,078₩41,342₩44,099₩47,532
7.5%₩34,796₩36,345₩38,171₩40,354₩43,012
8.0%₩32,749₩34,034₩35,528₩37,288₩39,393
8.5%₩30,978₩32,055₩33,294₩34,734₩36,431
9.0%₩29,430₩30,342₩31,380₩32,574₩33,962

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.2T
Enterprise value
₩902B
P/E
6.2×
P/B
2.3×
P/S
2.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩89,500₩24,450₩11,700₩7,080₩4,740
Market cap₩3T₩829B₩397B₩240B₩161B
P/E18.4×10.9×12.5×17.0×—
P/B6.2×2.7×1.8×1.2×1.0×
P/S7.5×2.6×1.6×1.3×1.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
HD-Hyundai Marine Engine6.2×2.3×2.5×—0.0%
Doosan Enerbility208.4×4.6×2.1×—0.0%
Hanmi Semiconductor82.2×24.4×33.1×74.0×0.4%
Jusung Engineering1,121.0×13.7×36.0×2,158.2×0.0%
Rainbow Robotics4,006.5×51.3×151.2×—0.0%
EO Technics44.8×6.5×10.9×—0.0%
Doosan Bobcat13,664.7×914.4×736.1×—3.5%
Similar companies (median)664.7×19.1×34.5×1,116.1×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: HD-Hyundai Marine Engine / HD현대마린엔진 / 071970 / KRX:071970

Source: KRX statistical information