Woory Industrial Holdings

072470 · KOSDAQ · ₩072470 · 우리산업홀딩스

₩1,978▲ ₩14 (0.71%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩7,207

vs the current price (₩1,978)

Enterprise value
₩262B
Equity value
₩136B
WACC
5.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 264% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,978, the model needs an operating margin of 1.8% every year (it uses 2.3%).
  • Or revenue growth −12.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from −4.0% to 4.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 2.0× against a typical 4.5× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩7,207
+264.3%
Bull
₩46,988
+2,275.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.3%).

Revenue growth

  • 12.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 10.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 6.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.73

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.6, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩697B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩60B
+ Stakes and investments
₩6.7B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩73B
Shares
18,887,341
Share price
₩1,978
Market cap
₩37B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩575B₩645B₩705B₩784B₩863B₩929B₩980B₩1T
Growth16.1%12.2%9.3%12.5%10.1%7.7%5.4%3.0%
EBIT₩21B₩15B₩34B₩18B₩20B₩21B₩23B₩23B
EBIT margin3.7%2.3%4.9%2.3%2.3%2.3%2.3%2.3%
After-tax EBIT₩15B₩11B₩25B₩13B₩14B₩15B₩16B₩17B
+ Depreciation———₩30B₩33B₩35B₩37B₩38B
− Capital spending₩43B₩27B₩19B₩38B₩41B₩45B₩47B₩48B
− Working capital−₩5.7B−₩89B₩81B₩5.4B₩4.9B₩4.1B₩3.1B₩1.8B
Free cash flow———−₩168M₩852M₩2.1B₩3.4B₩4.9B
Discount factor———0.9470.8970.8490.8040.761
Present value———−₩159M₩764M₩1.8B₩2.8B₩3.7B

Terminal value ₩332B, worth ₩253B today: 97% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,725 a share)Now 0.26×₩2,6280.34×₩3,9970.52×₩5,6950.74×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩991 a share)Now 2.00×₩2,1652.18×₩4,4444.48×₩7,8397.91×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.6%₩8,482₩10,497₩13,281₩17,384₩24,041
5.1%₩6,382₩7,834₩9,750₩12,398₩16,299
5.6%₩4,744₩5,827₩7,207₩9,027₩11,542
6.1%₩3,433₩4,261₩5,289₩6,598₩8,326
6.6%₩2,360₩3,007₩3,793₩4,767₩6,009

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩37B
Enterprise value
₩97B
P/E
2.0×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,205₩2,400₩3,510₩4,265₩6,590
Market cap₩61B₩45B₩66B₩81B₩124B
P/E3.2×34.1×4.4×——
P/B0.4×0.3×0.5×0.6×0.9×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.1×0.2×0.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Woory Industrial Holdings2.0×0.3×0.1×—0.0%
Hyundai Mobis8.7×0.6×0.5×—1.8%
SL6.1×0.9×0.4×3.7×0.0%
HL Mando10.7×0.6×0.2×—1.9%
Samhyun—13.4×18.9×—0.0%
Hyundai WIA19.3×0.4×0.2×—2.4%
SNT Dynamics13.4×0.7×0.9×—6.8%
Similar companies (median)10.7×0.7×0.5×3.7×1.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Woory Industrial Holdings / 우리산업홀딩스 / 072470 / KRX:072470

Source: KRX statistical information