Kspco

073010 · KOSDAQ · ₩073010 · 케이에스피

₩2,540▼ ₩80 (3.05%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,970

vs the current price (₩2,540)

Enterprise value
₩148B
Equity value
₩119B
WACC
7.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,281
−49.6%
Base
₩2,970
+16.9%
Bull
₩5,929
+133.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 14.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 11.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 11.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 13.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 16.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 34.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.75

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.62, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩106B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩28B
+ Stakes and investments
₩6M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
40,191,250
Share price
₩2,540
Market cap
₩102B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩82B₩85B₩96B₩122B₩136B₩148B₩157B₩161B
Growth28.2%4.5%12.0%14.5%11.6%8.7%5.9%3.0%
EBIT₩12B₩14B₩12B₩14B₩15B₩17B₩18B₩18B
EBIT margin14.5%16.2%12.1%11.2%11.2%11.2%11.2%11.2%
After-tax EBIT₩8.6B₩10B₩8.4B₩9.9B₩11B₩12B₩13B₩13B
+ Depreciation———₩16B₩18B₩20B₩21B₩21B
− Capital spending₩2B₩17B₩26B₩20B₩23B₩25B₩26B₩27B
− Working capital₩7.2B−₩4.7B₩10B₩5.3B₩4.9B₩4.1B₩3B₩1.6B
Free cash flow———₩581M₩1.7B₩3.1B₩4.6B₩6.2B
Discount factor———0.9330.8700.8110.7560.705
Present value———₩542M₩1.5B₩2.5B₩3.4B₩4.3B

Terminal value ₩192B, worth ₩135B today: 92% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,183 a share)Now 1.16×₩3,9571.81×₩5,8602.68×₩7,2563.32×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩197 a share)Now 12.9×₩2,11510.7×₩3,36717.1×₩7,05935.9×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩294 a share)Now 8.64×₩3,15910.7×₩5,02917.1×₩10,54335.9×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.2%₩3,304₩3,605₩3,975₩4,442₩5,053
6.7%₩2,899₩3,135₩3,419₩3,769₩4,211
7.2%₩2,560₩2,748₩2,970₩3,238₩3,569
7.7%₩2,273₩2,424₩2,601₩2,811₩3,064
8.2%₩2,026₩2,149₩2,292₩2,459₩2,656

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩102B
Enterprise value
₩130B
P/E
12.9×
P/B
1.2×
P/S
1.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩4,200₩4,260₩2,995₩1,750₩1,890
Market cap₩169B₩171B₩120B₩70B₩76B
P/E25.7×11.2×9.4×17.7×33.6×
P/B2.0×2.4×2.6×2.1×2.9×
P/S1.8×2.0×1.5×1.1×1.7×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.5%0.4%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kspco12.9×1.2×1.0×—0.8%
Doosan Enerbility200.6×4.5×2.0×—0.0%
Hanmi Semiconductor84.5×25.1×34.0×76.1×0.4%
Jusung Engineering1,135.2×13.9×36.4×2,185.7×0.0%
Rainbow Robotics4,308.5×55.2×162.6×—0.0%
EO Technics47.1×6.8×11.5×—0.0%
Doosan Bobcat13,805.1×923.8×743.7×—3.5%
Similar companies (median)667.9×19.5×35.2×1,130.9×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kspco / 케이에스피 / 073010 / KRX:073010

Source: KRX statistical information