Sejin Heavy Industries

075580 · KOSPI · ₩075580 · 세진중공업

₩7,390▲ ₩10 (0.14%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩4,863

vs the current price (₩7,390)

Enterprise value
₩566B
Equity value
₩276B
WACC
6.9%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩584
−92.1%
Base
₩4,863
−34.2%
Bull
₩12,250
+65.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.8%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 10.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 5.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 6.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.77

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.66, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩387B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩213B
− Minority interests
₩77B
Shares
56,849,456
Share price
₩7,390
Market cap
₩420B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩385B₩352B₩403B₩384B₩386B₩390B₩398B₩410B
Growth−6.2%−8.4%14.3%−0.6%0.3%1.2%2.1%3.0%
EBIT₩34B₩36B₩73B₩42B₩42B₩42B₩43B₩44B
EBIT margin8.7%10.2%18.2%10.8%10.8%10.8%10.8%10.8%
After-tax EBIT₩24B₩26B₩53B₩30B₩30B₩31B₩31B₩32B
+ Depreciation———₩20B₩20B₩20B₩21B₩21B
− Capital spending₩44B₩20B₩9.5B₩25B₩25B₩25B₩26B₩27B
− Working capital−₩36B₩190B₩21B₩232M−₩115M−₩463M−₩819M−₩1.2B
Free cash flow———₩25B₩25B₩26B₩27B₩28B
Discount factor———0.9350.8750.8180.7660.716
Present value———₩23B₩22B₩21B₩21B₩20B

Terminal value ₩641B, worth ₩459B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,322 a share)Now 1.71×₩7,8281.81×₩10,2782.38×₩21,1054.88×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,127 a share)Now 6.56×₩14,26312.7×₩27,02624.0×₩47,74642.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,164 a share)Now 6.35×₩14,73612.7×₩27,92124.0×₩49,32742.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.9%₩5,110₩6,157₩7,472₩9,175₩11,466
6.4%₩4,143₩4,985₩6,019₩7,319₩9,000
6.9%₩3,341₩4,032₩4,863₩5,884₩7,167
7.4%₩2,665₩3,240₩3,921₩4,743₩5,751
7.9%₩2,087₩2,572₩3,140₩3,813₩4,625

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩420B
Enterprise value
₩627B
P/E
6.6×
P/B
1.7×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
3.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩17,400₩8,440₩4,755₩5,150₩5,900
Market cap₩989B₩480B₩270B₩293B₩335B
P/E19.5×42.3×11.9×21.9×23.9×
P/B4.3×2.6×1.5×1.8×2.1×
P/S2.5×1.4×0.7×0.7×1.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.3%2.4%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Sejin Heavy Industries6.6×1.7×1.1×—3.0%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries11.9×2.8×1.4×—2.0%
Hanwha Ocean7.8×2.1×1.1×—0.0%
Samsung Heavy Industries25.7×3.0×1.3×—0.0%
Daehan Shipbuilding4.7×1.2×1.1×—0.7%
Hyundai Hyms14.7×1.4×1.4×—1.3%
Inhwa Precision12.6×0.9×2.8×16.0×2.2%
Similar companies (median)12.2×1.8×1.3×16.0×1.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Sejin Heavy Industries / 세진중공업 / 075580 / KRX:075580

Source: KRX statistical information