Haesung Optics

076610 · KOSDAQ · ₩076610 · 해성옵틱스

₩1,018▼ ₩22 (2.12%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩97B
Equity value
−₩144B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,018, the model needs an operating margin of 3.8% every year (it uses −3.2%).
  • Margins ranged from −12.3% to 3.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−3.2%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -3.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • -7.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 1.03

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩223B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩42B
+ Stakes and investments
₩3.3B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩8.4B
Shares
60,914,031
Share price
₩1,018
Market cap
₩62B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩121B₩109B₩160B₩221B₩222B₩224B₩229B₩236B
Growth−26.0%−10.4%47.7%−0.7%0.2%1.1%2.1%3.0%
EBIT₩4B−₩13B−₩6.7B−₩7.1B−₩7.1B−₩7.2B−₩7.3B−₩7.5B
EBIT margin3.3%−12.3%−4.2%−3.2%−3.2%−3.2%−3.2%−3.2%
After-tax EBIT₩2.9B−₩9.7B−₩4.9B−₩5.1B−₩5.1B−₩5.2B−₩5.3B−₩5.5B
+ Depreciation₩4.7B₩7.2B₩5.3B₩10B₩10B₩10B₩11B₩11B
− Capital spending———₩8.8B₩8.9B₩9B₩9.1B₩9.4B
− Working capital−₩2.1B−₩29B₩6.8B₩123M−₩35M−₩192M−₩372M−₩542M
Free cash flow———−₩3.9B−₩3.8B−₩3.7B−₩3.6B−₩3.5B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———−₩3.7B−₩3.3B−₩3B−₩2.7B−₩2.5B

Terminal value −₩117B, worth −₩82B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩537 a share)Now 1.90×₩9261.73×₩1,6213.02×₩3,8377.15×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩62B
Enterprise value
₩103B
P/E
—
P/B
1.9×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
10.6×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩641₩862₩1,451₩2,139₩5,440
Market cap₩39B₩53B₩88B₩130B₩331B
P/E—————
P/B2.1×5.1×2.2×3.3×6.7×
P/S0.2×0.5×0.7×0.8×2.4×
EV/EBITDA——13.0×196.6×44.9×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Haesung Optics—1.9×0.3×10.6×0.0%
TSE27.5×6.1×5.1×—0.2%
Kctech22.1×3.4×4.1×17.1×0.5%
Classys12.7×3.2×4.7×9.9×3.7%
Park Systems69.0×4.7×8.2×—0.2%
DI42.2×5.8×2.6×—0.6%
Curiox Biosystems—21.3×182.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.5×5.3×4.9×13.5×0.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Haesung Optics / 해성옵틱스 / 076610 / KRX:076610

Source: KRX statistical information