Telcoware텔코웨어
078000 · KOSPI · ₩078000 · 텔코웨어
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,122
vs the current price (₩13,200)
- Enterprise value
- ₩38B
- Equity value
- ₩84B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩7,103
- −46.2%
- Base
- ₩9,122
- −30.9%
- Bull
- ₩12,565
- −4.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.6%).
Revenue growth
- -3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩43B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩46B
- Shares
- 9,240,077
- Share price
- ₩13,200
- Market cap
- ₩122B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩41B | ₩45B | ₩38B | ₩42B | ₩41B | ₩41B | ₩41B | ₩43B |
| Growth | −4.5% | 10.4% | −14.5% | −3.4% | −1.8% | −0.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B |
| EBIT margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩512M | ₩4.8B | ₩1.3B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B |
| − Working capital | −₩57B | −₩23M | −₩15B | ₩146M | ₩75M | ₩8.2M | −₩57M | −₩124M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B |
Terminal value ₩43B, worth ₩30B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩12,694 a share)Now 1.04× | ₩9,8250.77× | ₩11,2780.89× | ₩17,1261.35× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,727 a share)Now 7.64× | ₩16,2469.41× | ₩43,71025.3× | ₩136,47779.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,331 a share)Now 9.91× | ₩12,5269.41× | ₩33,70025.3× | ₩105,22279.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩9,204 | ₩9,607 | ₩10,104 | ₩10,731 | ₩11,549 |
| 6.8% | ₩8,833 | ₩9,163 | ₩9,562 | ₩10,053 | ₩10,674 |
| 7.3% | ₩8,521 | ₩8,796 | ₩9,122 | ₩9,517 | ₩10,003 |
| 7.8% | ₩8,255 | ₩8,487 | ₩8,758 | ₩9,082 | ₩9,472 |
| 8.3% | ₩8,026 | ₩8,223 | ₩8,453 | ₩8,722 | ₩9,042 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩122B
- Enterprise value
- ₩76B
- P/E
- 7.6×
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 2.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩15,320 | ₩9,770 | ₩9,980 | ₩8,750 | ₩10,950 |
| Market cap | ₩142B | ₩90B | ₩92B | ₩81B | ₩101B |
| P/E | 22.9× | 18.1× | 17.3× | 20.9× | 55.9× |
| P/B | 1.3× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.7× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 3.7× | 2.0× | 2.3× | 1.9× | 2.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.2% | 6.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telcoware | 7.6× | 1.0× | 2.8× | — | 4.8% |
| NAVER | 13.0× | 0.9× | 2.0× | — | 1.5% |
| Kakao | 37.7× | 1.1× | 1.6× | — | 0.3% |
| Daou Technology | 1.9× | 0.4× | 0.0× | — | 5.6% |
| NICE Information Service | 11.7× | 2.1× | 1.6× | 6.9× | 2.9% |
| Kinx | 35.7× | 4.0× | 5.2× | 15.6× | 0.3% |
| Cafe24 | 11.1× | 1.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 12.3× | 1.3× | 1.6× | 6.9× | 0.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Telcoware / 텔코웨어 / 078000 / KRX:078000
Source: KRX statistical information