Gabia

079940 · KOSDAQ · ₩079940 · 가비아

₩39,450▼ ₩1,250 (3.07%)End-of-day · Oct 26, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩29,184

vs the current price (₩39,450)

Enterprise value
₩637B
Equity value
₩392B
WACC
7.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩8,087
−79.5%
Base
₩29,184
−26.0%
Bull
₩65,458
+65.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 12%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 9.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 14.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 30.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 38.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -5.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩352B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩56B
+ Stakes and investments
₩13B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩202B
Shares
13,420,684
Share price
₩39,450
Market cap
₩529B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩262B₩282B₩336B₩394B₩432B₩465B₩489B₩503B
Growth9.4%8.0%18.9%12.0%9.7%7.5%5.2%3.0%
EBIT₩43B₩35B₩40B₩59B₩64B₩69B₩73B₩75B
EBIT margin16.3%12.4%12.1%14.9%14.9%14.9%14.9%14.9%
After-tax EBIT₩31B₩25B₩29B₩43B₩47B₩50B₩53B₩54B
+ Depreciation———₩121B₩132B₩142B₩150B₩154B
− Capital spending₩69B₩211B₩46B₩151B₩166B₩178B₩187B₩193B
− Working capital−₩36B−₩23B−₩7B−₩2.2B−₩2B−₩1.7B−₩1.3B−₩763M
Free cash flow———₩14B₩15B₩16B₩16B₩16B
Discount factor———0.9340.8730.8160.7620.712
Present value———₩13B₩13B₩13B₩13B₩12B

Terminal value ₩804B, worth ₩573B today: 90% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩13,483 a share)Now 2.93×₩16,5351.23×₩22,0061.63×₩34,0942.53×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,355 a share)Now 29.1×₩11,5588.53×₩19,16614.1×₩39,95029.5×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,191 a share)Now 33.1×₩10,1588.53×₩16,84514.1×₩35,11229.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.0%₩30,637₩35,913₩42,506₩50,976₩62,259
6.5%₩25,652₩29,903₩35,098₩41,589₩49,928
7.0%₩21,509₩24,998₩29,184₩34,299₩40,690
7.5%₩18,015₩20,922₩24,358₩28,480₩33,516
8.0%₩15,030₩17,484₩20,347₩23,730₩27,789

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩529B
Enterprise value
₩585B
P/E
29.1×
P/B
2.9×
P/S
1.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩32,250₩16,470₩16,730₩10,150₩13,500
Market cap₩433B₩221B₩225B₩136B₩181B
P/E27.4×15.1×14.0×6.3×15.5×
P/B2.4×1.4×1.5×1.1×1.8×
P/S1.3×0.8×0.9×0.6×0.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.3%0.5%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Gabia29.1×2.9×1.5×—0.3%
Hyundai Autoever44.9×4.5×1.9×—0.6%
Krafton10.1×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.5×0.6%
Netmarble7.0×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss8.0×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.5×1.5×2.0×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Gabia / 가비아 / 079940 / KRX:079940

Source: KRX statistical information