Gabia가비아
079940 · KOSDAQ · ₩079940 · 가비아
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩29,184
vs the current price (₩39,450)
- Enterprise value
- ₩637B
- Equity value
- ₩392B
- WACC
- 7.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩8,087
- −79.5%
- Base
- ₩29,184
- −26.0%
- Bull
- ₩65,458
- +65.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.9%).
Revenue growth
- 12%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 14.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 30.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 38.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -5.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩352B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩56B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩13B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩202B
- Shares
- 13,420,684
- Share price
- ₩39,450
- Market cap
- ₩529B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩262B | ₩282B | ₩336B | ₩394B | ₩432B | ₩465B | ₩489B | ₩503B |
| Growth | 9.4% | 8.0% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩43B | ₩35B | ₩40B | ₩59B | ₩64B | ₩69B | ₩73B | ₩75B |
| EBIT margin | 16.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩31B | ₩25B | ₩29B | ₩43B | ₩47B | ₩50B | ₩53B | ₩54B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩121B | ₩132B | ₩142B | ₩150B | ₩154B |
| − Capital spending | ₩69B | ₩211B | ₩46B | ₩151B | ₩166B | ₩178B | ₩187B | ₩193B |
| − Working capital | −₩36B | −₩23B | −₩7B | −₩2.2B | −₩2B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.3B | −₩763M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.934 | 0.873 | 0.816 | 0.762 | 0.712 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩12B |
Terminal value ₩804B, worth ₩573B today: 90% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,483 a share)Now 2.93× | ₩16,5351.23× | ₩22,0061.63× | ₩34,0942.53× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,355 a share)Now 29.1× | ₩11,5588.53× | ₩19,16614.1× | ₩39,95029.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,191 a share)Now 33.1× | ₩10,1588.53× | ₩16,84514.1× | ₩35,11229.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | ₩30,637 | ₩35,913 | ₩42,506 | ₩50,976 | ₩62,259 |
| 6.5% | ₩25,652 | ₩29,903 | ₩35,098 | ₩41,589 | ₩49,928 |
| 7.0% | ₩21,509 | ₩24,998 | ₩29,184 | ₩34,299 | ₩40,690 |
| 7.5% | ₩18,015 | ₩20,922 | ₩24,358 | ₩28,480 | ₩33,516 |
| 8.0% | ₩15,030 | ₩17,484 | ₩20,347 | ₩23,730 | ₩27,789 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩529B
- Enterprise value
- ₩585B
- P/E
- 29.1×
- P/B
- 2.9×
- P/S
- 1.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩32,250 | ₩16,470 | ₩16,730 | ₩10,150 | ₩13,500 |
| Market cap | ₩433B | ₩221B | ₩225B | ₩136B | ₩181B |
| P/E | 27.4× | 15.1× | 14.0× | 6.3× | 15.5× |
| P/B | 2.4× | 1.4× | 1.5× | 1.1× | 1.8× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 0.6× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.3% | 0.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabia | 29.1× | 2.9× | 1.5× | — | 0.3% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 44.9× | 4.5× | 1.9× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.5× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 8.0× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.5× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Gabia / 가비아 / 079940 / KRX:079940
Source: KRX statistical information