ODTech

080520 · KOSDAQ · ₩080520 · 오디텍

₩2,525 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩67B
Equity value
−₩43B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,525, the model needs an operating margin of 4.0% every year (it uses −9.2%).
  • Margins ranged from −17.2% to 8.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
  • Today's P/E is 12.1× against a typical 7.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−9.2%).

Revenue growth

  • -2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -9.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 12.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 15.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.28, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩43B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩24B
Shares
11,322,417
Share price
₩2,525
Market cap
₩29B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩35B₩37B₩38B₩42B₩41B₩42B₩42B₩44B
Growth−13.4%5.8%2.6%−2.0%−0.8%0.5%1.7%3.0%
EBIT−₩4.3B−₩6.4B−₩2.3B−₩3.8B−₩3.8B−₩3.8B−₩3.9B−₩4B
EBIT margin−12.2%−17.2%−6.0%−9.2%−9.2%−9.2%−9.2%−9.2%
After-tax EBIT−₩3.1B−₩4.6B−₩1.7B−₩2.8B−₩2.8B−₩2.8B−₩2.8B−₩2.9B
+ Depreciation———₩5.1B₩5B₩5B₩5.1B₩5.3B
− Capital spending₩10B₩4B₩2.3B₩6.3B₩6.3B₩6.3B₩6.4B₩6.6B
− Working capital−₩2.8B−₩6.7B₩2.8B−₩341M−₩134M₩83M₩283M₩508M
Free cash flow———−₩3.7B−₩3.9B−₩4.1B−₩4.4B−₩4.8B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———−₩3.5B−₩3.4B−₩3.3B−₩3.3B−₩3.3B

Terminal value −₩71B, worth −₩50B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩11,339 a share)Now 0.22×₩2,9330.26×₩4,2010.37×₩6,9900.62×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩209 a share)Now 12.1×₩6192.97×₩1,6377.85×₩4,47221.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩592 a share)Now 4.26×₩1,7582.97×₩4,6487.85×₩12,70021.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩29B
Enterprise value
₩4.4B
P/E
12.1×
P/B
0.2×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
4.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,170₩3,005₩4,745₩4,385₩6,560
Market cap₩36B₩34B₩54B₩50B₩74B
P/E27.3×6.5×18.2×—18.1×
P/B0.3×0.3×0.4×0.4×0.6×
P/S0.9×0.9×1.5×1.2×1.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield3.2%3.3%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
ODTech12.1×0.2×0.7×—4.0%
SK hynix6.7×4.1×5.7×—0.2%
DB HiTek12.6×1.8×2.8×—0.8%
Fadu—40.1×14.0×—0.0%
Hana Micron14.4×4.5×1.2×—0.2%
Jeju Semiconductor10.4×5.4×3.6×—0.0%
SFA Semicon—3.1×3.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)11.5×4.3×3.4×—0.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: ODTech / 오디텍 / 080520 / KRX:080520

Source: KRX statistical information