ODTech오디텍
080520 · KOSDAQ · ₩080520 · 오디텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩67B
- Equity value
- −₩43B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,525, the model needs an operating margin of 4.0% every year (it uses −9.2%).
- Margins ranged from −17.2% to 8.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 12.1× against a typical 7.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−9.2%).
Revenue growth
- -2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -9.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 12.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 15.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.28, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩43B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩24B
- Shares
- 11,322,417
- Share price
- ₩2,525
- Market cap
- ₩29B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩35B | ₩37B | ₩38B | ₩42B | ₩41B | ₩42B | ₩42B | ₩44B |
| Growth | −13.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | −2.0% | −0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩4.3B | −₩6.4B | −₩2.3B | −₩3.8B | −₩3.8B | −₩3.8B | −₩3.9B | −₩4B |
| EBIT margin | −12.2% | −17.2% | −6.0% | −9.2% | −9.2% | −9.2% | −9.2% | −9.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩3.1B | −₩4.6B | −₩1.7B | −₩2.8B | −₩2.8B | −₩2.8B | −₩2.8B | −₩2.9B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5.1B | ₩5B | ₩5B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩10B | ₩4B | ₩2.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.6B |
| − Working capital | −₩2.8B | −₩6.7B | ₩2.8B | −₩341M | −₩134M | ₩83M | ₩283M | ₩508M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩3.7B | −₩3.9B | −₩4.1B | −₩4.4B | −₩4.8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩3.5B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.3B | −₩3.3B | −₩3.3B |
Terminal value −₩71B, worth −₩50B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,339 a share)Now 0.22× | ₩2,9330.26× | ₩4,2010.37× | ₩6,9900.62× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩209 a share)Now 12.1× | ₩6192.97× | ₩1,6377.85× | ₩4,47221.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩592 a share)Now 4.26× | ₩1,7582.97× | ₩4,6487.85× | ₩12,70021.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩29B
- Enterprise value
- ₩4.4B
- P/E
- 12.1×
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,170 | ₩3,005 | ₩4,745 | ₩4,385 | ₩6,560 |
| Market cap | ₩36B | ₩34B | ₩54B | ₩50B | ₩74B |
| P/E | 27.3× | 6.5× | 18.2× | — | 18.1× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.9× | 0.9× | 1.5× | 1.2× | 1.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.2% | 3.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODTech | 12.1× | 0.2× | 0.7× | — | 4.0% |
| SK hynix | 6.7× | 4.1× | 5.7× | — | 0.2% |
| DB HiTek | 12.6× | 1.8× | 2.8× | — | 0.8% |
| Fadu | — | 40.1× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hana Micron | 14.4× | 4.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Jeju Semiconductor | 10.4× | 5.4× | 3.6× | — | 0.0% |
| SFA Semicon | — | 3.1× | 3.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.5× | 4.3× | 3.4× | — | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: ODTech / 오디텍 / 080520 / KRX:080520
Source: KRX statistical information