Tplex티플랙스
081150 · KOSDAQ · ₩081150 · 티플랙스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,015
vs the current price (₩2,380)
- Enterprise value
- ₩134B
- Equity value
- ₩73B
- WACC
- 5.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩3,015
- +26.7%
- Bull
- ₩10,490
- +340.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.0%).
Revenue growth
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 38.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩240B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩61B
- Shares
- 24,268,402
- Share price
- ₩2,380
- Market cap
- ₩58B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩251B | ₩207B | ₩209B | ₩224B | ₩215B | ₩211B | ₩212B | ₩218B |
| Growth | −2.6% | −17.4% | 0.8% | −6.7% | −4.3% | −1.9% | 0.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩1.5B | ₩4.8B | ₩5.2B | ₩9B | ₩8.6B | ₩8.4B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.7B |
| EBIT margin | −0.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.1B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.8B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.3B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.9B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩857M | ₩97M | ₩523M | ₩449M | ₩429M | ₩421M | ₩424M | ₩436M |
| − Working capital | ₩11B | −₩14B | ₩13B | −₩6.2B | −₩3.7B | −₩1.6B | ₩483M | ₩2.4B |
| Free cash flow | −₩11B | ₩19B | −₩8.3B | ₩14B | ₩11B | ₩8.9B | ₩6.9B | ₩5.2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.946 | 0.895 | 0.847 | 0.801 | 0.758 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩10B | ₩7.6B | ₩5.6B | ₩3.9B |
Terminal value ₩124B, worth ₩94B today: 70% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩6,588 a share)Now 0.36× | ₩2,9030.44× | ₩3,2450.49× | ₩5,9320.90× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩103 a share)Now 23.2× | ₩6206.05× | ₩2,59925.4× | ₩5,29051.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.7% | ₩3,951 | ₩4,292 | ₩4,754 | ₩5,422 | ₩6,476 |
| 5.2% | ₩3,263 | ₩3,475 | ₩3,750 | ₩4,122 | ₩4,657 |
| 5.7% | ₩2,720 | ₩2,852 | ₩3,015 | ₩3,226 | ₩3,511 |
| 6.2% | ₩2,281 | ₩2,360 | ₩2,454 | ₩2,571 | ₩2,721 |
| 6.7% | ₩1,918 | ₩1,961 | ₩2,011 | ₩2,070 | ₩2,142 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩58B
- Enterprise value
- ₩119B
- P/E
- 23.2×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- 13.0×
- Dividend yield
- 2.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,845 | ₩2,925 | ₩3,240 | ₩3,750 | ₩4,440 |
| Market cap | ₩69B | ₩71B | ₩79B | ₩91B | ₩108B |
| P/E | 21.6× | 52.1× | — | 5.8× | 10.3× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.7× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.6× | 14.9× | 371.6× | 5.3× | 7.1× |
| Dividend yield | 1.8% | 0.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tplex | 23.2× | 0.4× | 0.2× | 13.0× | 2.1% |
| POSCO Holdings | 16.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 7.8× | 3.5% |
| Korea Zinc | 18.9× | 1.6× | 0.9× | — | 2.2% |
| Hyundai Steel | — | 0.2× | 0.2× | — | 1.9% |
| Poongsan | 8.3× | 0.7× | 0.3× | 6.0× | 2.8% |
| SeAH Besteel Holdings | 12.6× | 0.6× | 0.3× | 9.6× | 3.8% |
| Sama Aluminium | — | 4.3× | 3.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.6× | 0.6× | 0.3× | 7.8× | 2.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Tplex / 티플랙스 / 081150 / KRX:081150
Source: KRX statistical information