Eugene Technology유진테크
084370 · KOSDAQ · ₩084370 · 유진테크
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩28,297
vs the current price (₩108,400)
- Enterprise value
- ₩614B
- Equity value
- ₩648B
- WACC
- 9.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 74% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩108,400, the model needs an operating margin of 59.8% every year (it uses 16.4%).
- Or revenue growth +42.5 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 8.8% to 22.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 61% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 22.3× against a typical 29.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩20,026
- −81.5%
- Base
- ₩28,297
- −73.9%
- Bull
- ₩41,037
- −62.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (16.4%).
Revenue growth
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 16.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.93
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.89, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩386B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩68B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩463M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩34B
- Shares
- 22,916,042
- Share price
- ₩108,400
- Market cap
- ₩2.5T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩277B | ₩338B | ₩350B | ₩402B | ₩417B | ₩432B | ₩446B | ₩460B |
| Growth | −11.0% | 22.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩24B | ₩61B | ₩52B | ₩66B | ₩68B | ₩71B | ₩73B | ₩75B |
| EBIT margin | 8.8% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩18B | ₩44B | ₩37B | ₩48B | ₩50B | ₩51B | ₩53B | ₩55B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| − Capital spending | ₩12B | ₩9.1B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| − Working capital | ₩26B | ₩84B | ₩31B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.1B | ₩5.8B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩42B | ₩44B | ₩46B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.916 | 0.838 | 0.767 | 0.703 | 0.643 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩35B | ₩34B | ₩33B | ₩31B | ₩30B |
Terminal value ₩701B, worth ₩451B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩23,717 a share)Now 4.57× | ₩43,2301.82× | ₩65,1422.75× | ₩133,3005.62× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,855 a share)Now 22.3× | ₩55,65311.5× | ₩143,49329.6× | ₩270,73155.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩11,389 a share)Now 9.52× | ₩130,56311.5× | ₩336,64129.6× | ₩635,14855.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | ₩29,971 | ₩31,249 | ₩32,728 | ₩34,461 | ₩36,520 |
| 8.7% | ₩28,052 | ₩29,122 | ₩30,347 | ₩31,765 | ₩33,426 |
| 9.2% | ₩26,369 | ₩27,272 | ₩28,297 | ₩29,471 | ₩30,829 |
| 9.7% | ₩24,880 | ₩25,649 | ₩26,514 | ₩27,496 | ₩28,620 |
| 10.2% | ₩23,554 | ₩24,213 | ₩24,949 | ₩25,777 | ₩26,717 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2.5T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.4T
- P/E
- 22.3×
- P/B
- 4.6×
- P/S
- 6.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩75,000 | ₩31,300 | ₩40,800 | ₩22,150 | ₩51,700 |
| Market cap | ₩1.7T | ₩717B | ₩935B | ₩508B | ₩1.2T |
| P/E | 40.5× | 11.3× | 38.3× | 13.4× | 19.6× |
| P/B | 3.7× | 1.8× | 2.7× | 1.6× | 4.0× |
| P/S | 4.9× | 2.1× | 3.4× | 1.6× | 3.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugene Technology | 22.3× | 4.6× | 6.4× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 1,116.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Eugene Technology / 유진테크 / 084370 / KRX:084370
Source: KRX statistical information