Ubion유비온
084440 · KOSDAQ · ₩084440 · 유비온
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,184
vs the current price (₩4,880)
- Enterprise value
- ₩8.4B
- Equity value
- ₩12B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩650
- −86.7%
- Base
- ₩3,184
- −34.8%
- Bull
- ₩7,764
- +59.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.2%).
Revenue growth
- 2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩35B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩3.2B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩667M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩79M
- Shares
- 3,826,484
- Share price
- ₩4,880
- Market cap
- ₩19B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩37B | ₩38B | ₩39B |
| Growth | 1.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩385M | −₩2B | ₩1.4B | ₩778M | ₩798M | ₩819M | ₩842M | ₩867M |
| EBIT margin | 1.2% | −6.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩279M | −₩1.5B | ₩1B | ₩564M | ₩578M | ₩594M | ₩610M | ₩629M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.6B | ₩830M | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B |
| − Working capital | ₩2.2B | ₩1.1B | −₩1.3B | −₩33M | −₩37M | −₩41M | −₩44M | −₩48M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩315M | ₩325M | ₩337M | ₩348M | ₩362M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩293M | ₩282M | ₩272M | ₩262M | ₩253M |
Terminal value ₩10B, worth ₩7.1B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,066 a share)Now 2.36× | ₩4,8802.36× | ₩5,8162.81× | ₩8,4064.07× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩477 a share)Now 10.2× | ₩5,55311.6× | ₩6,79614.2× | ₩8,48617.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q4 2025 × 4: ₩1,784 a share)Now 2.74× | ₩20,75311.6× | ₩25,40214.2× | ₩31,71817.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩3,204 | ₩3,437 | ₩3,724 | ₩4,085 | ₩4,553 |
| 6.9% | ₩3,002 | ₩3,194 | ₩3,426 | ₩3,711 | ₩4,071 |
| 7.4% | ₩2,832 | ₩2,993 | ₩3,184 | ₩3,415 | ₩3,699 |
| 7.9% | ₩2,687 | ₩2,823 | ₩2,984 | ₩3,174 | ₩3,404 |
| 8.4% | ₩2,561 | ₩2,679 | ₩2,815 | ₩2,974 | ₩3,164 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩19B
- Enterprise value
- ₩14B
- P/E
- 10.2×
- P/B
- 2.4×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,965 | ₩4,805 | ₩8,005 | ₩6,075 |
| Market cap | ₩19B | ₩18B | ₩31B | ₩23B |
| P/E | 14.5× | — | — | 10.8× |
| P/B | 2.5× | 2.9× | 3.4× | 5.3× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.6× | 1.0× | 0.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ubion | 10.2× | 2.4× | 0.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 47.8× | 4.8× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 8.0× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.5× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Ubion / 유비온 / 084440 / KRX:084440
Source: KRX statistical information