Daesang Holdings대상홀딩스
084690 · KOSPI · ₩084690 · 대상홀딩스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
This is a holding company, but we don't have its stakes in listed companies yet, so we use a discounted cash flow for now.
Fair value per share
₩82,101
vs the current price (₩7,080)
- Enterprise value
- ₩4.5T
- Equity value
- ₩3T
- WACC
- 4.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 1,060% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩7,080, the model needs an operating margin of 1.7% every year (it uses 3.4%).
- Or revenue growth −20.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩82,101
- +1,059.6%
- Bull
- ₩336,659
- +4,655.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.4%).
Revenue growth
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.13, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩5.8T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩888B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩102B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩710B
- Shares
- 37,126,020
- incl. 913,482 preferred
- Share price
- ₩7,080
- Market cap
- ₩267B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩5.3T | ₩5.4T | ₩5.6T | ₩5.9T | ₩6.1T | ₩6.2T | ₩6.4T | ₩6.6T |
| Growth | 0.6% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩115B | ₩184B | ₩200B | ₩201B | ₩206B | ₩212B | ₩218B | ₩224B |
| EBIT margin | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩83B | ₩133B | ₩145B | ₩146B | ₩149B | ₩154B | ₩158B | ₩163B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩154B | ₩158B | ₩162B | ₩167B | ₩172B |
| − Capital spending | ₩211B | ₩143B | ₩169B | ₩189B | ₩194B | ₩199B | ₩205B | ₩211B |
| − Working capital | −₩186B | −₩492B | −₩333B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.5B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.9B | ₩9.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩103B | ₩105B | ₩108B | ₩111B | ₩114B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.955 | 0.911 | 0.870 | 0.830 | 0.793 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩98B | ₩96B | ₩94B | ₩92B | ₩90B |
Terminal value ₩5.1T, worth ₩4.1T today: 90% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩17,536 a share)Now 0.40× | ₩6,3430.36× | ₩8,0300.46× | ₩9,5710.55× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,505 a share)Now 4.70× | ₩9,3366.20× | ₩23,08615.3× | ₩61,51140.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8% | ₩89,381 | ₩114,268 | ₩153,276 | ₩223,212 | ₩385,115 |
| 4.3% | ₩68,958 | ₩85,688 | ₩109,806 | ₩147,607 | ₩215,380 |
| 4.8% | ₩53,979 | ₩65,889 | ₩82,101 | ₩105,472 | ₩142,101 |
| 5.3% | ₩42,527 | ₩51,366 | ₩62,906 | ₩78,615 | ₩101,261 |
| 5.8% | ₩33,490 | ₩40,262 | ₩48,826 | ₩60,008 | ₩75,228 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩256B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,800 | ₩10,180 | ₩13,330 | ₩7,740 | ₩9,700 |
| Market cap | ₩355B | ₩369B | ₩483B | ₩280B | ₩351B |
| P/E | — | 18.1× | 22.9× | 8.7× | 6.5× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 0.5× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | 3.5× |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 2.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daesang Holdings | — | 0.4× | 0.0× | — | 4.2% |
| SK Square | 3.6× | 2.2× | 96.1× | 3.5× | 0.0% |
| KB Financial Group | 8.8× | 0.9× | — | 9.6× | 2.8% |
| Shinhan Financial Group | 7.8× | 0.7× | — | 10.2× | 2.9% |
| SK | 4.5× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 1.6% |
| Hana Financial Group | 8.0× | 0.7× | — | 10.0× | 3.4% |
| Woori Financial Group | 7.1× | 0.6× | — | 8.5× | 4.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.5× | 0.8× | 48.2× | 9.6× | 2.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Daesang Holdings / 대상홀딩스 / 084690 / KRX:084690
Source: KRX statistical information