NEWFLEXTECHNOLGYCo뉴프렉스
085670 · KOSDAQ · ₩085670 · 뉴프렉스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,361
vs the current price (₩2,940)
- Enterprise value
- ₩90B
- Equity value
- ₩82B
- WACC
- 7.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,618
- −45.0%
- Base
- ₩3,361
- +14.3%
- Bull
- ₩6,478
- +120.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.7%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 15.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.64
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.46, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩150B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩8.1B
- Shares
- 24,500,761
- Share price
- ₩2,940
- Market cap
- ₩72B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩195B | ₩176B | ₩154B | ₩135B | ₩126B | ₩121B | ₩121B | ₩125B |
| Growth | −25.0% | −9.8% | −12.4% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩10B | ₩15B | ₩9.2B | ₩7.7B | ₩7.2B | ₩6.9B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.1B |
| EBIT margin | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩7.5B | ₩11B | ₩6.7B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.2B | ₩5B | ₩5B | ₩5.2B |
| + Depreciation | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩8.6B | ₩8B | ₩7.8B | ₩7.7B | ₩8B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.8B | ₩11B | ₩8B | ₩5.9B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.5B |
| − Working capital | ₩11B | −₩12B | ₩1.2B | −₩2.3B | −₩1.4B | −₩668M | −₩37M | ₩552M |
| Free cash flow | ₩4.7B | ₩23B | ₩8.1B | ₩11B | ₩9.1B | ₩8.1B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.933 | 0.871 | 0.812 | 0.758 | 0.707 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩9.8B | ₩7.9B | ₩6.6B | ₩5.7B | ₩5B |
Terminal value ₩78B, worth ₩55B today: 61% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,480 a share)Now 0.66× | ₩4,5931.03× | ₩8,3051.85× | ₩12,3952.77× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩410 a share)Now 7.17× | ₩2,9407.17× | ₩4,0609.90× | ₩7,42118.1× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩259 a share)Now 11.4× | ₩1,8557.17× | ₩2,5619.90× | ₩4,68118.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | ₩3,594 | ₩3,809 | ₩4,074 | ₩4,411 | ₩4,853 |
| 6.7% | ₩3,307 | ₩3,476 | ₩3,680 | ₩3,933 | ₩4,253 |
| 7.2% | ₩3,065 | ₩3,200 | ₩3,361 | ₩3,555 | ₩3,796 |
| 7.7% | ₩2,858 | ₩2,968 | ₩3,096 | ₩3,249 | ₩3,434 |
| 8.2% | ₩2,679 | ₩2,769 | ₩2,873 | ₩2,995 | ₩3,141 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩72B
- Enterprise value
- ₩80B
- P/E
- 7.2×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- 4.3×
- Dividend yield
- 3.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,975 | ₩5,460 | ₩6,530 | ₩7,430 | ₩7,790 |
| Market cap | ₩122B | ₩134B | ₩160B | ₩182B | ₩191B |
| P/E | 13.9× | 8.3× | 23.6× | 12.6× | 79.4× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.3× | 2.2× | 2.8× | 3.7× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.7× | 1.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.5× | 5.9× | 9.2× | 7.7× | 22.5× |
| Dividend yield | 2.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEWFLEXTECHNOLGYCo | 7.2× | 0.7× | 0.5× | 4.3× | 3.4% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 88.7× | 8.7× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 34.5× | 4.9× | 0.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 65.1× | 2.5× | 2.8× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 11.6× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 0.6% |
| Isupetasys | 30.8× | 7.2× | 4.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 38.8× | 6.0× | 4.4× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 36.6× | 5.5× | 3.6× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: NEWFLEXTECHNOLGYCo / 뉴프렉스 / 085670 / KRX:085670
Source: KRX statistical information