Alticast

085810 · KOSDAQ · ₩085810 · 알티캐스트

₩1,330▼ ₩1 (0.08%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,386

vs the current price (₩1,330)

Enterprise value
₩28B
Equity value
₩20B
WACC
6.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩17
−98.7%
Base
₩1,386
+4.2%
Bull
₩4,149
+212.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.1%).

Revenue growth

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

Business

  • 4.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 34.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩53B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩8B
Shares
14,136,953
Share price
₩1,330
Market cap
₩19B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue——₩53B₩55B₩56B₩58B₩60B₩62B
Growth———3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
EBIT−₩6.3B−₩4B₩3.2B₩2.2B₩2.3B₩2.4B₩2.5B₩2.5B
EBIT margin——6.0%4.1%4.1%4.1%4.1%4.1%
After-tax EBIT−₩4.5B−₩2.9B₩2.3B₩1.6B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.8B₩1.8B
+ Depreciation———₩383M₩395M₩407M₩419M₩431M
− Capital spending₩28M₩31M₩468M₩493M₩508M₩523M₩539M₩555M
− Working capital−₩272M₩2.9B₩19B₩547M₩563M₩580M₩598M₩616M
Free cash flow———₩971M₩1B₩1B₩1.1B₩1.1B
Discount factor———0.9400.8840.8310.7810.734
Present value———₩913M₩884M₩856M₩829M₩802M

Terminal value ₩32B, worth ₩23B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,357 a share)Now 0.40×₩2,3400.70×₩9,5082.83×₩14,0394.18×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.4%₩1,722₩1,838₩1,985₩2,182₩2,460
5.9%₩1,474₩1,551₩1,647₩1,769₩1,932
6.4%₩1,272₩1,324₩1,386₩1,462₩1,560
6.9%₩1,105₩1,138₩1,178₩1,226₩1,284
7.4%₩964₩985₩1,010₩1,038₩1,071

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩19B
Enterprise value
₩26B
P/E
—
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,452₩7,034₩6,599₩10,351₩14,262
Market cap₩49B₩99B₩93B₩146B₩202B
P/E—————
P/B1.0×2.7×4.1×3.0×3.0×
P/S0.9×————
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Alticast—0.4×0.4×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever47.8×4.8×2.0×—0.6%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss8.0×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.5×1.5×2.0×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Alticast / 알티캐스트 / 085810 / KRX:085810

Source: KRX statistical information