Sunjin Beauty Science선진뷰티사이언스
086710 · KOSDAQ · ₩086710 · 선진뷰티사이언스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,041
vs the current price (₩5,930)
- Enterprise value
- ₩89B
- Equity value
- ₩25B
- WACC
- 5.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 66% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩5,930, the model needs an operating margin of 11.5% every year (it uses 9.0%).
- Or revenue growth +12.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 49% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 14.5× against a typical 16.7× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩2,041
- −65.6%
- Bull
- ₩11,112
- +87.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.0%).
Revenue growth
- 7.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 19.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 23.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 29.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩83B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩59B
- − Minority interests
- ₩4.6B
- Shares
- 12,203,280
- Share price
- ₩5,930
- Market cap
- ₩72B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩73B | ₩79B | ₩81B | ₩89B | ₩95B | ₩101B | ₩105B | ₩108B |
| Growth | 12.9% | 9.3% | 1.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩9B | ₩11B | ₩6.1B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.6B | ₩9.1B | ₩9.4B | ₩9.7B |
| EBIT margin | 12.5% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩6.6B | ₩7.7B | ₩4.4B | ₩5.8B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.6B | ₩6.8B | ₩7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B |
| − Capital spending | ₩13B | ₩24B | ₩19B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| − Working capital | −₩10B | ₩2.3B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.2B | ₩915M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩363M | −₩98M | ₩236M | ₩579M | ₩948M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.945 | 0.893 | 0.844 | 0.798 | 0.754 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩343M | −₩87M | ₩199M | ₩462M | ₩714M |
Terminal value ₩116B, worth ₩88B today: 99% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,066 a share)Now 0.84× | ₩8,5611.21× | ₩11,0851.57× | ₩14,5602.06× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩409 a share)Now 14.5× | ₩1,9354.73× | ₩6,85016.7× | ₩17,87543.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩626 a share)Now 9.47× | ₩2,9624.73× | ₩10,48516.7× | ₩27,36043.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8% | ₩2,859 | ₩3,800 | ₩5,070 | ₩6,884 | ₩9,691 |
| 5.3% | ₩1,764 | ₩2,443 | ₩3,325 | ₩4,515 | ₩6,215 |
| 5.8% | ₩900 | ₩1,405 | ₩2,041 | ₩2,865 | ₩3,978 |
| 6.3% | ₩201 | ₩586 | ₩1,058 | ₩1,651 | ₩2,420 |
| 6.8% | — | — | ₩283 | ₩722 | ₩1,274 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩72B
- Enterprise value
- ₩131B
- P/E
- 14.5×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 0.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,350 | ₩9,050 | ₩8,210 | ₩6,730 | ₩7,067 |
| Market cap | ₩114B | ₩110B | ₩100B | ₩82B | ₩86B |
| P/E | 19.1× | 12.1× | 17.8× | 4.2× | 72.5× |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.4× | 1.4× | 1.3× | 1.9× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 1.4× | 1.4× | 1.3× | 1.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.1% | 0.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunjin Beauty Science | 14.5× | 0.8× | 0.9× | — | 3.4% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 5.9× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.5% |
| SKC | — | 1.8× | 1.7× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.9× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.9× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sunjin Beauty Science / 선진뷰티사이언스 / 086710 / KRX:086710
Source: KRX statistical information