E Kocref Cr-Reit이리츠코크렙
088260 · KOSPI · ₩088260 · 이리츠코크렙
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,930
vs the current price (₩2,945)
- Enterprise value
- ₩233B
- Equity value
- ₩249B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,879
- −2.2%
- Base
- ₩3,930
- +33.5%
- Bull
- ₩5,592
- +89.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (70.0%).
Revenue growth
- 2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 70%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.13, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩23B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩16B
- Shares
- 63,341,590
- Share price
- ₩2,945
- Market cap
- ₩187B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩24B | ₩25B | ₩26B | ₩27B |
| Growth | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩19B |
| EBIT margin | 77.5% | 77.4% | 78.3% | 70.0% | 70.0% | 70.0% | 70.0% | 70.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩716M | ₩734M | ₩754M | ₩775M | ₩798M |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩955M | ₩979M | ₩1B | ₩1B | ₩1.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩8.6B | −₩2.7B | ₩293M | −₩54M | −₩60M | −₩66M | −₩70M | −₩78M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.4B |
Terminal value ₩259B, worth ₩182B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,271 a share)Now 0.90× | ₩3,8471.18× | ₩4,5061.38× | ₩5,0421.54× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩109 a share)Now 27.0× | ₩3,31630.4× | ₩3,99036.6× | ₩5,53850.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩4,055 | ₩4,384 | ₩4,789 | ₩5,301 | ₩5,968 |
| 6.8% | ₩3,724 | ₩3,992 | ₩4,315 | ₩4,713 | ₩5,216 |
| 7.3% | ₩3,446 | ₩3,667 | ₩3,930 | ₩4,248 | ₩4,639 |
| 7.8% | ₩3,209 | ₩3,394 | ₩3,612 | ₩3,870 | ₩4,182 |
| 8.3% | ₩3,004 | ₩3,161 | ₩3,344 | ₩3,557 | ₩3,811 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩187B
- Enterprise value
- ₩171B
- P/E
- 27.0×
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 8.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,600 | ₩4,105 | ₩4,855 | ₩5,200 | ₩5,960 |
| Market cap | ₩291B | ₩260B | ₩308B | ₩329B | ₩378B |
| P/E | 41.9× | 51.7× | 31.0× | 35.3× | 42.0× |
| P/B | 1.4× | 1.2× | 1.3× | 1.4× | 1.5× |
| P/S | 12.5× | 11.4× | 13.8× | 15.2× | 17.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.8% | 4.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Kocref Cr-Reit | 27.0× | 0.9× | 8.0× | — | 5.9% |
| SK Reit | 48.8× | 0.8× | 22.5× | — | 1.3% |
| Lotte Reit | 58.5× | 1.1× | 16.1× | — | 2.8% |
| Hanwha Reit | 64.5× | 1.4× | 15.8× | 44.1× | 2.7% |
| ESR Kendall Square Reit | 1,170.6× | 0.7× | 11.5× | 73.2× | 4.6% |
| Shinhan Alpha REIT | 97.6× | 1.2× | 8.0× | 34.3× | 3.0% |
| SamsungFN Reit | 144.5× | 1.1× | 36.2× | — | 1.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 81.1× | 1.1× | 15.9× | 44.1× | 2.7% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: E Kocref Cr-Reit / 이리츠코크렙 / 088260 / KRX:088260
Source: KRX statistical information