INNOXCorporation이녹스
088390 · KOSDAQ · ₩088390 · 이녹스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩8,869
vs the current price (₩6,530)
- Enterprise value
- ₩87B
- Equity value
- ₩83B
- WACC
- 7.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 36% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,530, the model needs an operating margin of 11.8% every year (it uses 14.9%).
- Or revenue growth −6.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 8.3% to 32.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 84% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 2.2× against a typical 4.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,331
- −18.4%
- Base
- ₩8,869
- +35.8%
- Bull
- ₩14,901
- +128.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.9%).
Revenue growth
- -9.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 14.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 13.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 17.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 11.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.61
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.42, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩65B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩3.3B
- Shares
- 9,385,844
- Share price
- ₩6,530
- Market cap
- ₩61B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩62B | ₩56B | ₩59B | ₩58B | ₩54B | ₩53B | ₩52B | ₩54B |
| Growth | −23.3% | −9.0% | 5.2% | −9.8% | −6.6% | −3.4% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.1B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.5B | ₩8.7B | ₩8.1B | ₩7.8B | ₩7.8B | ₩8B |
| EBIT margin | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.7B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.7B | ₩6.3B | ₩5.9B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.8B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩8B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.8B | ₩17B | ₩8B | ₩10B | ₩9.3B | ₩9B | ₩9B | ₩9.2B |
| − Working capital | −₩2.6B | −₩7.8B | ₩4.2B | −₩746M | −₩453M | −₩218M | −₩12M | ₩186M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩5.1B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.1B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.933 | 0.870 | 0.812 | 0.757 | 0.707 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.7B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.3B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.7B |
Terminal value ₩98B, worth ₩69B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩20,190 a share)Now 0.32× | ₩7,6100.38× | ₩18,2650.90× | ₩29,4971.46× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,001 a share)Now 2.18× | ₩8,6772.89× | ₩13,6994.57× | ₩159,03453.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,738 a share)Now 1.38× | ₩13,7002.89× | ₩21,6314.57× | ₩251,11153.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | ₩9,292 | ₩10,103 | ₩11,107 | ₩12,383 | ₩14,058 |
| 6.7% | ₩8,426 | ₩9,078 | ₩9,868 | ₩10,847 | ₩12,091 |
| 7.2% | ₩7,700 | ₩8,233 | ₩8,869 | ₩9,640 | ₩10,594 |
| 7.7% | ₩7,083 | ₩7,526 | ₩8,046 | ₩8,665 | ₩9,417 |
| 8.2% | ₩6,553 | ₩6,924 | ₩7,356 | ₩7,863 | ₩8,467 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩61B
- Enterprise value
- ₩63B
- P/E
- 2.2×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,350 | ₩7,790 | ₩23,200 | ₩22,000 | ₩32,450 |
| Market cap | ₩78B | ₩73B | ₩218B | ₩206B | ₩305B |
| P/E | 3.4× | — | — | 13.9× | 5.8× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 1.1× | 1.0× | 1.6× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 1.3× | 3.5× | 2.6× | 4.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INNOXCorporation | 2.2× | 0.3× | 0.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai-Rotem | 10.3× | 2.5× | 1.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Iljin Hysolus | — | 1.2× | 3.5× | — | 0.0% |
| KR Motors | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Alton | 295.9× | 1.0× | 0.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.3× | 1.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: INNOXCorporation / 이녹스 / 088390 / KRX:088390
Source: KRX statistical information