Korea Computer Terminal케이씨티
089150 · KOSDAQ · ₩089150 · 케이씨티
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,180
vs the current price (₩1,499)
- Enterprise value
- ₩65B
- Equity value
- ₩55B
- WACC
- 6.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 112% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,499, the model needs an operating margin of 6.9% every year (it uses 12.5%).
- Or revenue growth −13.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 2.9% to 17.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 11.9× against a typical 43.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,665
- +11.1%
- Base
- ₩3,180
- +112.2%
- Bull
- ₩5,883
- +292.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.5%).
Revenue growth
- 16.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 13.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 12.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.24, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩22B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩11B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 17,150,000
- Share price
- ₩1,499
- Market cap
- ₩26B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩16B | ₩12B | ₩23B | ₩25B | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩33B | ₩34B |
| Growth | 10.9% | −27.7% | 97.9% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩2.2B | ₩1.6B | ₩4B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.9B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.3B |
| EBIT margin | 13.4% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.6B | ₩1.2B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩278M | ₩315M | ₩346M | ₩368M | ₩379M |
| − Capital spending | ₩187M | ₩177M | ₩378M | ₩354M | ₩401M | ₩440M | ₩469M | ₩483M |
| − Working capital | −₩1.1B | ₩179M | −₩615M | −₩166M | −₩154M | −₩129M | −₩93M | −₩46M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2.4B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.940 | 0.884 | 0.831 | 0.781 | 0.734 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩2.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.3B |
Terminal value ₩73B, worth ₩53B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,017 a share)Now 0.74× | ₩2,2501.12× | ₩3,1911.58× | ₩6,2663.11× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩126 a share)Now 11.9× | ₩1,89415.1× | ₩5,42243.2× | ₩11,15188.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2 a share)Now 603.5× | ₩3715.1× | ₩10743.2× | ₩22188.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4% | ₩3,302 | ₩3,742 | ₩4,312 | ₩5,080 | ₩6,171 |
| 5.9% | ₩2,896 | ₩3,240 | ₩3,673 | ₩4,234 | ₩4,990 |
| 6.4% | ₩2,566 | ₩2,842 | ₩3,180 | ₩3,606 | ₩4,158 |
| 6.9% | ₩2,292 | ₩2,517 | ₩2,788 | ₩3,122 | ₩3,541 |
| 7.4% | ₩2,061 | ₩2,248 | ₩2,469 | ₩2,736 | ₩3,064 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩26B
- Enterprise value
- ₩37B
- P/E
- 11.9×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 1.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,795 | ₩2,460 | ₩2,880 | ₩3,220 | ₩6,270 |
| Market cap | ₩48B | ₩42B | ₩49B | ₩55B | ₩108B |
| P/E | 17.3× | 48.2× | 42.7× | 81.8× | 449.7× |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.2× | 1.4× | 1.6× | 3.1× |
| P/S | 2.1× | 3.6× | 3.1× | 3.8× | 7.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.9% | 2.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Computer Terminal | 11.9× | 0.7× | 1.2× | — | 5.3% |
| Samsung SDS | 25.6× | 1.6× | 1.2× | — | 1.5% |
| LG CNS | 15.1× | 2.4× | 1.2× | — | 2.5% |
| DB | 7.1× | 0.9× | 0.6× | 16.2× | 0.0% |
| Itcenglobal | 6.7× | 2.9× | 0.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Lotte Innovate | 15.5× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 4.0% |
| Shinsegae Information & Communication | 6.3× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.8× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.1× | 1.3× | 0.5× | 8.5× | 0.7% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Korea Computer Terminal / 케이씨티 / 089150 / KRX:089150
Source: KRX statistical information