UbiVelox

089850 · KOSDAQ · ₩089850 · 유비벨록스

₩4,130▼ ₩165 (3.84%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩32,378

vs the current price (₩4,130)

Enterprise value
₩768B
Equity value
₩477B
WACC
5.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 684% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩4,130, the model needs an operating margin of 3.0% every year (it uses 4.9%).
  • Or revenue growth −21.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩32,378
+684.0%
Bull
₩123,266
+2,884.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 14.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 11.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 20.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩646B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩169B
+ Stakes and investments
₩1.9B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩123B
Shares
14,730,199
Share price
₩4,130
Market cap
₩61B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩544B₩607B₩668B₩737B₩821B₩891B₩943B₩971B
Growth21.0%11.7%10.0%14.1%11.3%8.6%5.8%3.0%
EBIT₩49B₩34B₩21B₩36B₩40B₩44B₩46B₩48B
EBIT margin9.1%5.6%3.2%4.9%4.9%4.9%4.9%4.9%
After-tax EBIT₩36B₩25B₩16B₩26B₩29B₩32B₩33B₩34B
+ Depreciation———₩28B₩31B₩34B₩36B₩37B
− Capital spending₩38B₩28B₩17B₩35B₩39B₩43B₩45B₩47B
− Working capital−₩58B₩32B₩64B₩18B₩17B₩14B₩10B₩5.7B
Free cash flow———₩415M₩4.1B₩8.5B₩14B₩19B
Discount factor———0.9530.9080.8650.8240.785
Present value———₩395M₩3.7B₩7.3B₩11B₩15B

Terminal value ₩929B, worth ₩730B today: 95% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩9,228 a share)Now 0.45×₩4,9710.54×₩8,4660.92×₩11,8151.28×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩513 a share)Now 8.06×₩3,5196.87×₩4,8089.38×₩13,73926.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.0%₩38,153₩47,479₩61,559₩85,307₩133,982
4.5%₩28,980₩35,218₩43,980₩57,206₩79,514
5.0%₩22,145₩26,527₩32,378₩40,594₩52,996
5.5%₩16,859₩20,051₩24,154₩29,629₩37,318
6.0%₩12,654₩15,043₩18,025₩21,856₩26,969

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩61B
Enterprise value
₩219B
P/E
—
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,320₩6,440₩8,314₩5,978₩8,815
Market cap₩78B₩95B₩122B₩88B₩130B
P/E—6.7×6.5×33.3×11.1×
P/B0.6×0.7×1.0×0.9×1.4×
P/S0.1×0.2×0.2×0.2×0.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
UbiVelox—0.4×0.1×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever50.3×5.1×2.1×—0.5%
Krafton10.1×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.0×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP8.9×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.4×1.5×2.1×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: UbiVelox / 유비벨록스 / 089850 / KRX:089850

Source: KRX statistical information