UbiVelox유비벨록스
089850 · KOSDAQ · ₩089850 · 유비벨록스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩32,378
vs the current price (₩4,130)
- Enterprise value
- ₩768B
- Equity value
- ₩477B
- WACC
- 5.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 684% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩4,130, the model needs an operating margin of 3.0% every year (it uses 4.9%).
- Or revenue growth −21.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩32,378
- +684.0%
- Bull
- ₩123,266
- +2,884.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.9%).
Revenue growth
- 14.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 20.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩646B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩169B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.9B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩123B
- Shares
- 14,730,199
- Share price
- ₩4,130
- Market cap
- ₩61B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩544B | ₩607B | ₩668B | ₩737B | ₩821B | ₩891B | ₩943B | ₩971B |
| Growth | 21.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩49B | ₩34B | ₩21B | ₩36B | ₩40B | ₩44B | ₩46B | ₩48B |
| EBIT margin | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩36B | ₩25B | ₩16B | ₩26B | ₩29B | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩34B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩28B | ₩31B | ₩34B | ₩36B | ₩37B |
| − Capital spending | ₩38B | ₩28B | ₩17B | ₩35B | ₩39B | ₩43B | ₩45B | ₩47B |
| − Working capital | −₩58B | ₩32B | ₩64B | ₩18B | ₩17B | ₩14B | ₩10B | ₩5.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩415M | ₩4.1B | ₩8.5B | ₩14B | ₩19B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.953 | 0.908 | 0.865 | 0.824 | 0.785 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩395M | ₩3.7B | ₩7.3B | ₩11B | ₩15B |
Terminal value ₩929B, worth ₩730B today: 95% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,228 a share)Now 0.45× | ₩4,9710.54× | ₩8,4660.92× | ₩11,8151.28× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩513 a share)Now 8.06× | ₩3,5196.87× | ₩4,8089.38× | ₩13,73926.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0% | ₩38,153 | ₩47,479 | ₩61,559 | ₩85,307 | ₩133,982 |
| 4.5% | ₩28,980 | ₩35,218 | ₩43,980 | ₩57,206 | ₩79,514 |
| 5.0% | ₩22,145 | ₩26,527 | ₩32,378 | ₩40,594 | ₩52,996 |
| 5.5% | ₩16,859 | ₩20,051 | ₩24,154 | ₩29,629 | ₩37,318 |
| 6.0% | ₩12,654 | ₩15,043 | ₩18,025 | ₩21,856 | ₩26,969 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩61B
- Enterprise value
- ₩219B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,320 | ₩6,440 | ₩8,314 | ₩5,978 | ₩8,815 |
| Market cap | ₩78B | ₩95B | ₩122B | ₩88B | ₩130B |
| P/E | — | 6.7× | 6.5× | 33.3× | 11.1× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.7× | 1.0× | 0.9× | 1.4× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UbiVelox | — | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: UbiVelox / 유비벨록스 / 089850 / KRX:089850
Source: KRX statistical information